NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	98		Excitement	7.4 [338]		MVP	Todd Fuller (CHH): +9.7%
Detroit Pistons	91		Comeback	4.0 [103]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (CHH): -27.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd Fuller	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.15	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07	0.01	0.06	0.01	13	57%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Mason	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	8	76%	0.16	3	-0.09	13	92%	0.07
Baron Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chucky Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Eddie Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	41%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
David Wesley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.02	16	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.04
Derrick Coleman	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28	-0.15	-0.12	0.00	13	41%	-0.16	4	-0.11	8	50%	-0.14

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	62%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.03
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	37%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	23	52%	0.13	6	-0.21	4	100%	0.04
Terry Mills	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	9	44%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	18	45%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	12	21%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	29.3	15.7	29.1	1.5	36.3	139.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +54.5%

CHH +1.1%

CHH +3.6%

DET -8.8%

DET -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	DET	NBA	CHH	DET	NBA
this game	15.6	14.3	15.2	102.1	93.8	101.7
season	14.9	14.1		101.5	104.2
opponent	15.3	15.1		103.0	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.7	14.7	15.4	16.6	15.6
DET	15.0	14.1	13.4	14.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	67	67	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-5	17	15.3	16.2	-0.86	14.8	13.1	1.75
Anthony Mason	86	87	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	-4	15	15.4	17.0	-1.59	14.0	16.4	-2.37
Elden Campbell	72	71	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	-2	11	15.3	16.3	-1.01	14.6	13.5	1.12
Derrick Coleman	79	78	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	2	3	15.9	13.9	2.05	14.6	12.8	1.85
Baron Davis	38	40	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	0	7	15.2	15.8	-0.60	13.7	14.7	-0.94
David Wesley	78	78	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	8	-9	15.6	15.3	0.29	14.1	15.0	-0.90
Todd Fuller	24	25	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.12	-2	9	-11	16.3	15.3	1.01	13.9	14.4	-0.48
Eddie Robinson	27	28	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	10	-13	15.9	15.4	0.44	13.9	14.4	-0.54
Chucky Brown	9	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	10	-13	16.0	15.5	0.47	13.5	14.4	-0.93

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Montross	10	9	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-10	13	14.6	14.2	0.36	16.0	15.5	0.47
John Crotty	27	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-9	11	13.4	14.6	-1.26	14.6	16.0	-1.42
Jerome Williams	35	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-9	11	14.0	14.4	-0.39	16.4	15.1	1.21
Michael Curry	29	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-5	3	14.8	14.1	0.69	15.0	15.8	-0.77
Lindsey Hunter	58	57	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-2	-3	14.8	13.5	1.28	15.6	15.6	-0.03
Mikki Moore	17	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-7	7	15.2	14.1	1.09	16.6	15.3	1.36
Terry Mills	63	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	2	-11	14.3	14.3	0.02	15.5	15.7	-0.16
Grant Hill	71	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-3	-1	13.9	15.2	-1.25	15.6	15.4	0.29
Jerry Stackhouse	81	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	14.2	14.9	-0.71	15.7	14.9	0.77
Jud Buechler	25	25	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.27	-6	-1	-5	14.8	14.1	0.76	16.7	15.2	1.50
Christian Laettner	69	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	3	-13	14.1	14.6	-0.51	14.9	17.2	-2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 90, DAL 79	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.08,0.01,0,0	93.1%
SAS 97, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.02,0	93.0%
SEA 84, CHH 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.33,0.19,0.16,0.01,0.04,0	92.8%