inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 98 Excitement7.0 [394] MVPMickael Pietrus (ORL): +27.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers 92 Comeback5.5 [396] LVPZydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -13.3%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus0.270,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.080.19-0.00867%0.2700.002100%0.03
Jameer Nelson0.130,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.130.070.06-0.001361%0.151-0.022100%0.01
Dwight Howard0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.10.070.040.011363%0.142-0.04944%-0.06
JJ Redick0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.06-0.00756%0.111-0.03475%0.00
Rashard Lewis0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.03-0.00869%0.112-0.0400%0.00
Ryan Anderson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Matt Barnes-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.040.01771%0.062-0.0900%0.00
Brandon Bass-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.050.01460%0.011-0.062100%0.01
Marcin Gortat-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.03-0.0020%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Vince Carter-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.000.001030%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jason Williams-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.04-0.0010%-0.012-0.0900%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamario Moon0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.170.170.080.09-0.01967%0.1700.0000%0.00
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.030.011268%0.234-0.15786%0.02
Mo Williams0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.01-0.001356%0.072-0.05875%-0.03
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.00267%0.0200.002100%0.01
Leon Powe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Daniel Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.03-0.050.021653%0.001-0.04475%0.00
Sebastian Telfair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.03-0.02425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.030.0010%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jawad Williams0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.00520%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.05-0.01633%-0.022-0.0900%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.09-0.06-0.011235%-0.102-0.04250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.23.629.119.427.23.631.0144.2
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +48.3%
ORL +3.3%
CLE -5.4%
ORL +3.8%
CLE -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLCLENBAORLCLENBA
this game15.816.415.3110.1102.2106.0
season15.416.1110.1109.5
opponent15.015.9103.3101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL17.014.614.916.915.8
CLE15.014.218.718.116.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mickael Pietrus28270.440.060.380.3824-216.615.41.2317.615.91.74
JJ Redick45460.440.060.370.237-1815.616.0-0.3116.016.8-0.77
Dwight Howard69710.410.090.310.178-21015.915.40.5116.416.20.28
Jameer Nelson56590.370.130.240.2542215.616.1-0.4715.817.5-1.74
Marcin Gortat25250.360.140.230.3024-215.016.1-1.1716.816.20.64
Rashard Lewis47470.350.150.20-0.0012-61816.015.60.3415.916.9-1.01
Brandon Bass27280.290.210.08-0.0311-51615.216.1-0.8815.117.0-1.84
Jason Williams33310.130.37-0.240.0724-216.115.60.4717.515.81.74
Vince Carter44440.060.44-0.370.09-17-816.015.60.3116.816.00.77
Matt Barnes4749-0.080.58-0.660.07-511-1615.715.9-0.2516.815.90.92
Ryan Anderson2423-0.270.77-1.040.08-1218-3016.015.70.2215.916.5-0.62

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Daniel Gibson14140.15-0.650.80-0.036-121817.116.20.9117.615.52.19
Antawn Jamison56560.04-0.540.58-0.115-111615.318.1-2.7516.115.30.83
Leon Powe33-0.01-0.490.48-0.072-81020.016.33.7522.015.66.42
Danny Green1212-0.06-0.440.38-0.060-6617.216.21.0117.215.61.68
Jawad Williams3735-0.16-0.340.18-0.01-5-1-415.317.2-1.8816.115.60.43
Zydrunas Ilgauskas5050-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.22-2-4216.815.81.0414.917.0-2.09
JJ Hickson4341-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.15-5-1-416.216.6-0.3716.914.82.09
Anderson Varejao4041-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.14-60-616.816.00.8515.316.2-0.89
Mo Williams5555-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.02-104-1415.517.7-2.2314.917.2-2.33
Delonte West5354-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.31-1-5417.215.31.8815.616.1-0.43
Jamario Moon7471-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.18-93-1216.714.81.9015.716.1-0.32
Sebastian Telfair1313-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.33-5-1-417.516.21.3615.315.9-0.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.1,0.11,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 99, ATL 890.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.53,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.02,092.1%
TOR 101, LAL 920.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.27,0.1,0.01,0.01,0,092.0%
MEM 103, DAL 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.04,0,0,092.0%