inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 117 Excitement7.0 [446] MVPJabari Parker (MIL): +18.2%
Denver Nuggets 121 Comeback1.6 [772] LVPMatthew Dellavedova (MIL): -16.4%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jabari Parker0.180,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.180.080.130.022060%0.233-0.055100%0.03
Giannis Antetokounmpo0.120,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.120.070.070.021377%0.265-0.144100%0.03
Thon Maker0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.022150%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Jason Terry0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.030.08-0.020.044112%0.071-0.0400%0.00
John Henson0.020,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.020.08-0.040.021262%0.0200.002100%0.01
Greg Monroe0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01650%0.0100.00450%-0.02
Tony Snell-0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00344%-0.0000.00367%-0.01
Mirza Teletovic-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00462%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Malcolm Brogdon-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.00747%0.002-0.061100%0.00
Michael Beasley-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.030.01744%-0.031-0.04450%-0.02
Matthew Dellavedova-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.07-0.080.01540%-0.093-0.0800%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenneth Faried0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.110.060.01868%0.171-0.011258%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.12,0.120.12-0.020.140.00643%0.131-0.02250%-0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.01-0.001562%0.132-0.052100%0.01
Gary Harris0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.060.021354%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.04-0.01956%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00972%0.133-0.087100%0.03
Juan Hernangomez00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.00520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07-0.070.02-0.040.051451%0.042-0.111776%-0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.01-0.011037%-0.023-0.08450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.12.632.215.430.42.545.9150.2
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +10.8%
DEN +7.0%
DEN +24.6%
DEN +2.9%
DEN +4.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILDENNBAMILDENNBA
this game12.714.814.8110.4116.3107.7
season14.914.4107.4111.6
opponent14.515.3111.2107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL12.214.111.312.912.7
DEN14.012.118.215.414.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Beasley29290.08-0.580.66-0.2411-152611.313.2-1.8916.814.02.81
Mirza Teletovic23250.06-0.560.63-0.054-81211.812.9-1.0512.015.7-3.63
Tony Snell43400.03-0.530.57-0.208-122011.413.5-2.0715.614.31.30
Thon Maker89-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-2013.912.61.3217.014.62.41
Greg Monroe3130-0.16-0.340.170.04-73-1013.412.31.0411.616.1-4.49
Jason Terry5857-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.290-4412.912.30.6213.816.0-2.27
John Henson6463-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.352-6812.612.8-0.2216.412.34.06
Malcolm Brogdon5251-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.08-117-1813.411.91.5513.915.7-1.84
Jabari Parker7673-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.32-51-612.612.8-0.2115.612.82.84
Matthew Dellavedova6867-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.25-84-1212.612.8-0.2615.214.01.24
Giannis Antetokounmpo7876-0.540.04-0.57-0.18-128-2013.111.31.8614.415.9-1.55

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wilson Chandler85880.57-0.070.650.2511-71814.914.30.5913.49.04.40
Nikola Jokic67680.470.030.430.238-41215.812.92.8713.012.10.93
Kenneth Faried55550.460.040.410.3440415.214.40.8112.313.0-0.71
Gary Harris57600.450.050.410.315-1615.014.50.4912.912.30.57
Jameer Nelson62650.350.150.210.3504-415.513.81.7412.812.50.31
Emmanuel Mudiay42410.150.35-0.210.0340413.815.5-1.7412.512.8-0.31
Jamal Murray47460.050.45-0.410.08-15-614.515.0-0.4912.312.9-0.57
Will Barton57600.020.48-0.470.22-711-1814.215.5-1.2211.913.6-1.73
Darrell Arthur38390.010.49-0.490.07-26-813.915.3-1.3412.812.60.23
Juan Hernangomez108-0.020.52-0.540.04-26-811.315.2-3.878.913.0-4.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.84,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 85, PHI 930.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.78,0.91,0.92,0.83,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.98,193.0%
NYK 92, ATL 1020.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.72,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,192.9%
MIN 115, LAL 1190.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.81,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.84,192.6%