NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	85		Excitement	5.9 [623]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +15.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	1.6 [719]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -13.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.15	0.13	0.02	0.01	22	66%	0.19	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	53%	0.02	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Scott Williams	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	14	54%	0.01	5	-0.12	9	89%	0.06
Glenn Robinson	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	22	34%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.02	-0.03	14	68%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	60%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.04	-0.03	35	44%	0.06	3	-0.08	7	71%	0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	11	52%	0.02	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	24%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	3.4	27.5	19.7	27.2	3.4	38.2	143.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +26.0%

MIL -5.4%

PHI +11.8%

PHI +14.2%

PHI +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.4	17.6	15.5	94.4	103.3	100.9
season	14.9	15.7		105.9	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.8		97.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.7	15.4	14.0	13.5	14.4
PHI	19.6	14.6	16.7	19.9	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	1	0	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-8	8	0.0	14.6	-14.58	0.0	17.6	-17.58
Mark Pope	1	0	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-8	8	0.0	14.6	-14.58	0.0	17.6	-17.58
Rafer Alston	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-8	8	1.0	14.6	-13.57	0.0	17.8	-17.78
Scott Williams	42	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-12	16	14.0	14.8	-0.88	17.6	17.6	-0.01
Ervin Johnson	71	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-12	16	15.1	11.9	3.14	18.1	15.6	2.53
Ray Allen	78	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-9	10	14.0	17.2	-3.17	18.0	14.4	3.58
Sam Cassell	71	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.19	-5	-3	-2	14.7	13.4	1.34	17.7	17.1	0.65
Lindsey Hunter	33	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	6	-20	14.2	14.5	-0.33	15.9	18.4	-2.52
Jason Caffey	28	28	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	2	-12	15.5	14.0	1.51	16.0	18.3	-2.29
Glenn Robinson	69	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	14.7	13.6	1.05	18.0	16.2	1.80
Tim Thomas	55	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.08	-14	6	-20	14.2	14.7	-0.52	17.7	17.4	0.36

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	68	69	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-3	14	17.4	18.0	-0.56	14.9	12.9	1.98
Dikembe Mutombo	81	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	2	4	17.7	16.1	1.63	15.3	7.5	7.79
Allen Iverson	90	90	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	17.6	0.0	17.58	14.4	0.0	14.42
Eric Snow	52	51	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	-1	10	18.0	16.9	1.09	14.6	14.2	0.47
Jumaine Jones	58	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	-1	10	17.1	18.4	-1.29	15.1	13.3	1.81
Aaron McKie	65	68	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	11	-14	17.4	18.2	-0.81	13.8	16.2	-2.39
Rodney Buford	11	14	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	4	0	16.4	17.7	-1.38	10.9	15.1	-4.22
Kevin Ollie	3	2	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	6	-4	8.7	17.9	-9.22	1.5	14.7	-13.22
Matt Geiger	22	21	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	14	-20	20.0	16.8	3.21	12.8	14.9	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.78,0.91,0.92,0.83,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 83, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.86,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.78,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.99,1,1,0.99,1	94.2%
CHI 81, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	93.9%
MIL 123, OKC 131	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.93,0.98,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.8%