NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	115		Excitement	6.8 [467]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +38.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	119		Comeback	1.8 [336]		LVP	Nick Young (LAL): -6.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.19	0.15	0.07	0.02	20	65%	0.26	1	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Gorgui Dieng	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.08	0.09	0.03	0.04	9	70%	0.15	2	-0.07	9	78%	0.06
Damjan Rudez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.04	0.03	9	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Nemanja Bjelica	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	58%	0.24	4	-0.26	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	45%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.19,0.38	0.38	0.23	0.18	0.03	21	70%	0.42	2	-0.04	12	92%	0.05
Lou Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.00	10	67%	0.14	0	0.00	10	90%	0.03
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.01	12	60%	0.18	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.10	-0.01	14	50%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	13	57%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.7	33.3	15.4	26.6	2.5	36.9	140.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +31.0%

MIN -5.9%

MIN -4.4%

LAL +26.0%

LAL +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.0	14.9	119.8	122.7	105.1
season	14.8	15.2		104.8	100.1
opponent	14.5	15.0		109.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.5	15.9	14.9	13.2	14.8
LAL	15.8	12.4	15.8	16.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damjan Rudez	31	29	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-10	16	14.7	14.9	-0.13	14.8	15.1	-0.36
Shabazz Muhammad	50	47	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-6	8	15.0	14.6	0.39	14.3	15.7	-1.38
Nemanja Bjelica	15	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-6	8	14.9	14.8	0.04	11.2	15.7	-4.44
Andre Miller	13	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-3	2	16.8	14.5	2.24	11.5	15.5	-4.01
Tayshaun Prince	34	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-3	2	14.8	14.8	-0.02	15.5	14.7	0.76
Adreian Payne	13	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.11	-10	6	-16	17.0	14.5	2.51	12.0	15.5	-3.48
Zach LaVine	55	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-4	4	14.8	14.9	-0.08	14.3	15.9	-1.62
Gorgui Dieng	70	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	0	-4	14.9	14.6	0.35	15.8	12.7	3.06
Karl-Anthony Towns	63	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-2	0	14.3	15.8	-1.50	15.7	13.6	2.07
Andrew Wiggins	79	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-1	-2	14.7	15.4	-0.70	16.0	10.2	5.70
Ricky Rubio	57	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.33	-9	5	-14	14.4	15.4	-0.97	15.4	14.5	0.87

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julius Randle	64	65	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.51	9	-5	14	15.4	14.2	1.16	14.4	15.7	-1.29
Kobe Bryant	66	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-2	8	15.5	13.9	1.58	14.3	15.9	-1.53
Lou Williams	71	69	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	0	4	14.7	15.8	-1.14	14.9	14.6	0.39
Brandon Bass	55	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	0	4	14.6	15.5	-0.95	14.4	15.4	-0.97
Jordan Clarkson	71	69	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.34	-2	6	-8	15.4	13.9	1.49	14.0	17.0	-2.96
D'Angelo Russell	54	56	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	-1	6	14.8	15.2	-0.40	15.4	14.0	1.47
Tarik Black	42	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.14	4	0	4	13.7	16.0	-2.33	16.3	13.8	2.44
Nick Young	29	29	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	5	-6	14.0	15.5	-1.49	16.5	14.1	2.36
Roy Hibbert	33	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.17	-9	13	-22	16.6	14.2	2.42	14.6	14.9	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.81,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 102, PHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.78,0.94,0.85,1	92.8%
MIL 117, DEN 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.84,0.95,1	92.6%
DET 93, BOS 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.85,1	92.6%