NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	93		Excitement	7.0 [391]		MVP	Jeff Green (BOS): +40.8%
Boston Celtics	98		Comeback	1.8 [956]		LVP	Charlie Villanueva (DET): -49.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.16	0.09	0.01	10	76%	0.26	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Khris Middleton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	16	47%	0.02	0	0.00	15	73%	-0.02
Andre Drummond	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	53%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.04
Kyle Singler	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kim English	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	22	51%	0.08	6	-0.19	3	67%	-0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	10	32%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Charlie Villanueva	-0.49	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.44,-0.49	-0.24	-0.26	-0.00	17	12%	-0.39	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.41	0.41	0.20	0.23	0.02	19	76%	0.48	3	-0.07	7	71%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	8	69%	0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	14	50%	0.09	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.02	8	77%	0.06	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	27%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	35.3	15.7	24.2	2.3	41.6	146.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +88.9%

DET -4.9%

DET -30.9%

BOS +3.0%

DET -6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BOS	NBA	DET	BOS	NBA
this game	16.9	14.9	15.4	102.2	108.9	104.1
season	15.7	14.9		102.3	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.5		101.7	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.3	15.4	18.3	16.6	16.9
BOS	14.6	15.9	14.5	14.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	46	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-2	-1	14.7	19.2	-4.55	15.9	13.9	2.05
Kim English	13	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	0	-5	15.5	17.1	-1.68	16.7	14.6	2.14
Kyle Singler	47	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	1	-7	18.0	15.7	2.27	14.1	15.7	-1.64
Jonas Jerebko	54	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-10	15	14.7	20.1	-5.31	15.9	13.5	2.33
Brandon Knight	69	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-8	11	18.1	13.2	4.91	14.7	15.7	-1.00
Andre Drummond	37	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	5	-15	20.1	14.7	5.31	13.5	15.9	-2.33
Greg Monroe	74	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.36	3	-8	11	17.1	16.1	0.96	14.7	15.9	-1.17
Charlie Villanueva	45	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.33	1	-6	7	15.7	18.0	-2.31	15.5	14.3	1.20
Rodney Stuckey	70	69	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.25	-13	8	-21	17.3	15.6	1.73	14.5	16.3	-1.79

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	69	69	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-2	9	14.7	15.5	-0.74	17.6	14.7	2.93
Paul Pierce	61	61	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	-3	11	14.3	16.1	-1.76	18.3	14.0	4.38
Jeff Green	79	81	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.35	5	0	5	14.9	15.2	-0.31	17.0	16.5	0.45
Avery Bradley	63	63	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.44	0	5	-5	14.5	15.9	-1.34	17.6	15.4	2.18
Jordan Crawford	23	23	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	-1	7	16.5	14.4	2.16	15.6	17.4	-1.79
Jason Terry	42	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	4	-3	15.9	14.0	1.91	14.9	18.8	-3.86
Shavlik Randolph	26	25	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	2	1	16.0	14.5	1.48	14.6	17.8	-3.17
Terrence Williams	25	25	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	2	1	15.2	14.8	0.40	15.2	17.5	-2.35
Courtney Lee	26	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	7	-9	15.1	14.8	0.29	15.0	17.7	-2.72
Chris Wilcox	36	38	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.12	-6	11	-17	13.7	15.7	-2.07	19.2	15.3	3.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 78, ATL 85	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.98,1	93.3%
NJN 77, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.98,1	92.7%
PHI 89, GSW 96	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.84,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	92.6%