NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	117		Excitement	10.8 [41]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +50.8%
Houston Rockets	121		Comeback	27.2 [90]		LVP	Ryan Anderson (HOU): -15.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Carter-Williams	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.12	0.01	18	59%	0.23	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.08
Nikola Mirotic	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	0.01	8	58%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Jerian Grant	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	4	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bobby Portis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.01	0.09	-0.09	0.01	13	69%	0.17	2	-0.18	3	67%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dwyane Wade	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.05,-0.08,0.04,-0.07	-0.10	0.03	-0.00	22	42%	0.01	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Paul Zipser	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.02	-0.13	0.00	10	50%	-0.00	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	5	30%	-0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.23,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.51	0.51	0.10	0.41	-0.00	33	52%	0.58	2	-0.07	14	79%	0.03
Clint Capela	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.14	0.01	8	87%	0.26	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	75%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	7	56%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.07	0.01	17	62%	0.19	3	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	8	53%	0.01	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.03	7	0%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.3	1.0	27.6	29.6	26.0	1.6	35.9	1.8	20.3	168.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +34.7%

HOU +14.2%

CHI -16.6%

HOU +26.3%

CHI -8.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	HOU	NBA	CHI	HOU	NBA
this game	15.2	14.2	14.8	109.3	111.0	107.7
season	15.1	13.7		105.9	113.2
opponent	14.9	14.8		108.1	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	14.2	15.7	13.0	15.9	20.7	15.2
HOU	14.1	13.7	15.2	15.4	10.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerian Grant	35	36	0.34	-0.84	1.19	0.05	10	-14	24	15.1	15.3	-0.22	15.2	13.8	1.41
Rajon Rondo	42	44	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.18	-3	-1	-2	13.5	16.4	-2.85	14.5	14.0	0.55
Bobby Portis	12	12	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	-3	2	12.6	15.6	-2.99	13.7	14.3	-0.53
Taj Gibson	69	69	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-8	12	16.5	13.0	3.50	15.2	12.6	2.60
Michael Carter-Williams	69	71	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.29	7	-11	18	16.0	13.9	2.12	14.4	14.0	0.38
Paul Zipser	61	61	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	-0.20	0	-4	4	14.5	16.2	-1.61	13.9	14.7	-0.84
Cristiano Felicio	15	16	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	8	-20	15.0	15.3	-0.27	12.9	14.4	-1.50
Robin Lopez	80	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.58	9	-13	22	15.7	13.9	1.75	14.5	13.3	1.26
Nikola Mirotic	38	40	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	4	-12	13.0	16.5	-3.50	12.6	15.2	-2.60
Dwyane Wade	70	70	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.42	-9	5	-14	16.6	12.6	4.03	14.4	13.8	0.62
Doug McDermott	44	45	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.39	-17	13	-30	14.6	15.7	-1.13	13.1	15.0	-1.93

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	70	69	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.46	16	-12	28	13.7	15.2	-1.45	15.2	15.4	-0.21
Clint Capela	61	60	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.51	-1	5	-6	14.2	14.2	-0.02	16.5	13.6	2.88
Ryan Anderson	65	66	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.15	8	-4	12	14.4	14.0	0.45	16.2	13.6	2.59
Trevor Ariza	79	78	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.53	-8	12	-20	14.2	14.3	-0.16	15.5	14.6	0.89
James Harden	89	86	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.61	-11	15	-26	14.5	12.9	1.62	15.3	15.0	0.23
Patrick Beverley	67	65	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	-3	10	14.3	14.1	0.16	15.2	15.3	-0.16
Corey Brewer	29	28	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.14	10	-6	16	13.1	14.6	-1.52	13.7	15.8	-2.01
Montrezl Harrell	48	47	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.13	5	-1	6	14.2	14.2	0.02	13.6	16.5	-2.88
Sam Dekker	37	36	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.11	-6	10	-16	15.0	13.8	1.22	14.2	15.8	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.55,0.53,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.24,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.46,0.81,0.63,0.57,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 107, BOS 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.23,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0	87.5%
PHX 90, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.54,0.81,0.78,0.57,0.27,1	87.3%
DEN 117, SAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.04,0	87.0%