NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	107		Excitement	6.9 [432]		MVP	Dennis Rodman (CHI): +12.2%
Boston Celtics	98		Comeback	6.3 [103]		LVP	Rick Fox (BOS): -21.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Rodman	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	8	76%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ron Harper	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Randy Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Parish	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.16	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Steve Kerr	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	11	62%	0.07	2	-0.08	10	80%	-0.01
Jud Buechler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	22	53%	0.00	1	-0.02	13	77%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luc Longley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.19,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	17	50%	0.02	5	-0.17	2	50%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	15	71%	0.14	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	16	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Brett Szabo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	13	48%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.02
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	12	43%	-0.05	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Pervis Ellison	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	54%	-0.04	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.04
Frank Brickowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.07	0.00	3	37%	-0.05	5	-0.15	2	0%	-0.03
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.10	0.01	14	34%	-0.14	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.3	28.5	15.6	29.5	1.7	30.3	134.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +53.0%

CHI +7.6%

CHI +10.4%

BOS -20.3%

BOS -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	13.2	16.3	15.6	110.3	100.0	104.4
season	15.5	14.8		110.5	101.8
opponent	14.7	16.1		109.5	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.5	14.5	11.9	12.8	13.2
BOS	14.2	15.5	19.4	16.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	82	83	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.06	28	-19	47	12.9	14.7	-1.84	16.7	14.1	2.61
Dennis Rodman	78	79	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-2	13	13.4	12.1	1.40	16.7	15.0	1.67
Michael Jordan	85	86	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	-2	13	13.4	11.8	1.53	17.0	11.7	5.33
Ron Harper	47	49	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.10	15	-6	21	13.2	13.2	-0.01	17.4	15.3	2.16
Robert Parish	17	16	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	5	-1	13.7	13.1	0.64	19.1	15.8	3.32
Steve Kerr	45	44	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.33	-6	15	-21	13.0	13.3	-0.24	15.2	17.2	-1.99
Toni Kukoc	62	62	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	9	-9	13.2	13.2	-0.04	15.6	17.6	-2.00
Randy Brown	14	15	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	12	-15	10.4	13.6	-3.21	11.8	17.2	-5.37
Dickey Simpkins	9	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.07	2	7	-5	13.7	13.1	0.54	17.7	16.2	1.45
Jud Buechler	2	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	11	-13	6.5	13.3	-6.82	0.7	16.8	-16.18
Bill Wennington	22	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	12	-15	12.6	13.3	-0.70	15.4	16.6	-1.27
Luc Longley	22	22	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.12	-12	21	-33	15.1	12.6	2.54	16.6	16.3	0.37

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brett Szabo	3	4	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-13	17	16.7	16.3	0.33	16.2	13.0	3.21
Todd Day	44	43	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.10	5	-14	19	14.7	17.7	-3.06	13.4	13.0	0.48
Antoine Walker	54	55	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-12	15	15.4	17.5	-2.09	14.3	11.8	2.49
Eric Williams	50	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-10	11	17.0	15.7	1.29	14.2	12.1	2.03
Frank Brickowski	42	40	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-2	-5	14.9	17.5	-2.61	12.2	13.9	-1.70
Dana Barros	78	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-5	1	16.1	17.1	-1.01	12.7	15.3	-2.66
Pervis Ellison	59	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	-1	-7	17.9	14.0	3.86	14.2	11.6	2.61
Rick Fox	75	74	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.16	-17	8	-25	17.3	13.3	3.98	12.5	15.3	-2.73
David Wesley	85	83	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.13	-22	13	-35	16.5	15.5	0.93	12.4	17.8	-5.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.23,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 108, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.1,0.08,0.01,0.01,0	91.8%
NJN 101, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.01,0	91.6%
CHH 91, ATL 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.22,0.1,0.04,0,0,0	91.3%