inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 118 Excitement4.7 [878] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +15.6%
Orlando Magic 98 Comeback3.1 [1019] LVPAaron Gordon (ORL): -9.9%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.160,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.170.020.031579%0.233-0.074100%0.01
Klay Thompson0.130,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.110.050.021475%0.173-0.0300%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0.090,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.020.01878%0.101-0.0220%-0.04
JaVale McGee0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.100.000.03781%0.0700.00250%-0.00
Kevin Durant0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.011252%0.071-0.02580%0.00
Damian Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
James Michael McAdoo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevon Looney-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ian Clark-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02844%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Andre Iguodala-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.01-0.03542%-0.013-0.032100%0.01
Patrick McCaw-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.010.051145%-0.0710.0000%0.00
Draymond Green-0.090,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.02733%-0.023-0.064100%0.02

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.010.02875%0.0800.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.00956%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Mario Hezonja0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.09-0.00-0.101130%0.012-0.0010%-0.02
Elfrid Payton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.08-0.010.071864%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Anthony Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Damjan Rudez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.010.04948%-0.0300.00729%-0.03
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.001244%-0.012-0.02367%-0.00
CJ Watson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.010.011048%0.034-0.11560%-0.02
Aaron Gordon0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.03-0.031429%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.91.629.215.825.22.326.7124.8
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +35.2%
GSW +10.3%
GSW +12.8%
ORL -9.8%
GSW +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWORLNBAGSWORLNBA
this game14.214.014.8114.697.0107.7
season13.514.6114.9103.0
opponent14.915.1109.8103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW13.815.013.214.914.2
ORL11.916.313.914.514.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephen Curry65640.81-0.311.12-0.1633-134613.415.5-2.0413.914.4-0.48
Kevin Durant64630.79-0.291.08-0.2335-155013.215.8-2.5514.113.90.21
JaVale McGee29280.380.120.26-0.3826-63213.114.6-1.5513.914.1-0.22
Klay Thompson73730.330.170.16-0.171731414.413.60.7813.914.5-0.62
Zaza Pachulia43420.230.27-0.030.09515-1015.013.61.4813.814.2-0.41
Andre Iguodala62610.220.28-0.05-0.13128413.814.8-1.0314.014.1-0.08
Draymond Green71690.190.31-0.120.04515-1015.112.22.8513.814.6-0.75
Ian Clark30280.170.33-0.160.08317-1413.614.4-0.7814.513.90.62
Damian Jones15150.000.50-0.500.15-525-3014.914.10.8814.414.00.41
James Michael McAdoo980.000.50-0.500.18-626-3214.314.20.1615.413.91.44
Kevon Looney1414-0.310.81-1.120.07-1333-4614.214.20.0313.314.2-0.89
Patrick McCaw4040-0.320.82-1.140.03-1232-4415.613.32.2714.913.51.41

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Hezonja44430.10-0.600.700.013-232615.213.22.0514.314.10.28
Anthony Brown890.00-0.500.50-0.186-263215.413.91.4414.314.20.16
Damjan Rudez890.00-0.500.50-0.186-263215.413.91.4414.314.20.16
Bismack Biyombo4848-0.01-0.490.470.02-1-191815.113.12.0514.414.00.36
CJ Watson7880-0.03-0.470.44-0.061-212213.416.2-2.8114.413.60.80
Jeff Green5456-0.13-0.370.250.25-13-7-615.012.92.0814.513.80.69
D.J. Augustin910-0.13-0.370.240.05-6-14816.413.82.6313.814.2-0.43
Nikola Vucevic5253-0.47-0.03-0.440.08-19-1-1813.015.2-2.1614.214.10.09
Serge Ibaka4849-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.02-16-4-1212.815.2-2.4413.015.3-2.34
Elfrid Payton8385-0.570.07-0.650.10-233-2613.715.7-1.9714.213.90.36
Aaron Gordon7373-0.770.27-1.040.35-3818-5614.014.1-0.1314.314.00.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.42,0.39,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 105, LAC 890.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,093.4%
SAS 108, SAC 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,092.4%
CLE 106, NJN 820.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,092.4%