inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 108 Excitement4.8 [862] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +26.7%
Sacramento Kings 99 Comeback2.2 [638] LVPMike Bibby (SAC): -10.7%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0.270,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.240.050.021778%0.292-0.021182%0.01
Fabricio Oberto0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.040.00968%0.1300.001100%0.01
Brent Barry0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.01-0.00592%0.1200.002100%0.01
Matt Bonner0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.00-0.0520%0.0200.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0.020,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.011253%0.051-0.036100%0.03
Tony Parker0.010,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.05-0.010.041452%0.0100.00580%0.02
Jacque Vaughn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Finley-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.01-0.01733%0.011-0.0210%-0.02
Beno Udrih-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01440%-0.001-0.022100%0.01
Francisco Elson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Robert Horry-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.0330%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.011132%-0.031-0.0300%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.08-0.010.001171%0.123-0.056100%0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.011357%0.092-0.052100%0.01
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.02955%0.052-0.03450%-0.02
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.080.000.081117%0.0000.004100%0.00
Quincy Douby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Metta World Peace0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.020.032049%0.011-0.03560%-0.02
Ronnie Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.000.021100%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Kenny Thomas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.00425%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.040.031246%-0.052-0.061191%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.12.333.115.729.42.527.5134.5
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +28.9%
SAS +5.2%
SAS +2.8%
SAS +11.2%
SAS +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASSACNBASASSACNBA
this game16.814.515.4117.4107.6104.5
season16.214.7107.5104.7
opponent15.115.4106.098.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.216.316.218.316.8
SAC17.315.713.212.214.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker62620.53-0.030.57-0.0219-102916.317.7-1.3615.113.41.71
Tim Duncan59600.51-0.010.51-0.0519-102916.217.8-1.5714.514.50.08
Fabricio Oberto55520.460.040.420.0813-41717.216.11.1315.013.91.06
Bruce Bowen63610.440.060.380.0314-51916.118.3-2.2815.013.61.42
Manu Ginobili47470.420.080.340.1310-11117.316.31.0114.614.40.15
Brent Barry36360.080.42-0.330.0227-516.217.1-0.9215.613.81.79
Robert Horry40400.060.44-0.370.12-211-1317.316.40.9614.214.8-0.57
Michael Finley33350.050.45-0.390.08-110-1117.816.21.6613.215.4-2.18
Matt Bonner550.050.45-0.400.19-514-1918.216.71.509.614.8-5.20
Jacque Vaughn540.000.50-0.500.21-716-2318.216.71.507.514.8-7.34
Beno Udrih3031-0.030.53-0.570.26-1019-2917.716.31.3613.515.0-1.52
Francisco Elson2527-0.080.58-0.650.13-716-2316.017.1-1.1315.014.30.62

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronnie Price17180.08-0.580.66-0.2411-203116.414.12.3219.816.13.72
Jason Hart76-0.01-0.490.48-0.165-14196.915.2-8.3015.716.9-1.19
Quincy Douby45-0.04-0.460.42-0.195-14197.514.8-7.3418.216.71.50
Metta World Peace6766-0.11-0.390.27-0.234-131715.212.72.5317.016.20.77
Corliss Williamson6261-0.18-0.320.14-0.12-2-7513.616.5-2.9417.315.81.47
Francisco Garcia4950-0.24-0.260.03-0.03-7-2-515.014.01.0716.217.5-1.23
Kenny Thomas3233-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.13-6-3-317.113.23.9016.616.9-0.23
Shareef Abdur-Rahim8584-0.510.01-0.51-0.01-178-2514.614.10.4116.618.7-2.15
Kevin Martin6061-0.510.01-0.52-0.10-145-1914.315.0-0.6916.916.60.26
Mike Bibby7776-0.670.17-0.850.03-2415-3914.116.6-2.4816.120.2-4.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 97, NYK 780.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%
LAC 106, GSW 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
UTA 96, PHX 820.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%