NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Excitement	4.7 [898]		MVP	Delonte West (CLE): +16.7%
New Jersey Nets	82		Comeback	2.5 [688]		LVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -16.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.05	0.01	9	89%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	11	70%	0.11	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	5	40%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	20	54%	0.12	3	-0.07	17	71%	0.02
Daniel Gibson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	14	38%	-0.09	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ager	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	59%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	0.04	13	52%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	18	53%	0.08	5	-0.13	7	86%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	-0.03	-0.09	12	30%	-0.05	3	-0.03	6	50%	-0.05
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	12	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	2.4	35.8	14.8	29.8	1.0	30.2	142.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +39.2%

CLE +5.9%

NJN -0.2%

CLE +3.3%

CLE +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NJN	NBA	CLE	NJN	NBA
this game	16.4	15.2	15.5	115.2	91.1	106.4
season	16.9	16.0		110.6	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.2		108.9	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.6	15.7	17.3	18.8	16.4
NJN	13.1	14.9	16.2	17.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	50	51	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.02	19	5	14	16.1	16.9	-0.78	15.0	15.4	-0.42
LeBron James	69	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	7	10	16.1	17.4	-1.28	15.1	15.4	-0.26
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	61	60	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.14	21	3	18	17.7	13.9	3.82	14.9	15.8	-0.95
Mo Williams	63	63	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.20	23	1	22	17.8	13.4	4.41	15.1	15.4	-0.24
Delonte West	61	59	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.07	13	11	2	15.3	18.6	-3.24	15.1	15.4	-0.33
Daniel Gibson	30	30	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.07	6	18	-12	18.1	15.6	2.42	16.6	14.5	2.10
Sasha Pavlovic	30	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.13	8	16	-8	16.3	16.5	-0.25	14.7	15.4	-0.66
Tarence Kinsey	11	10	0.10	0.41	-0.31	-0.14	8	16	-8	12.1	17.0	-4.93	13.8	15.4	-1.58
Anderson Varejao	50	48	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	21	-18	16.6	16.2	0.45	15.6	14.7	0.91
Lorenzen Wright	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	20	-16	11.0	16.6	-5.56	16.0	15.2	0.82
JJ Hickson	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	19	-14	10.5	16.8	-6.35	18.8	14.9	3.89
Wally Szczerbiak	27	26	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.12	-7	31	-38	15.7	16.7	-1.03	14.6	15.5	-0.88

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Ager	6	7	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.15	-5	-19	14	18.8	14.9	3.89	9.4	17.0	-7.58
Trenton Hassell	7	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-19	14	19.7	14.8	4.90	20.7	16.1	4.53
Yi Jianlian	60	63	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.16	-8	-16	8	14.9	15.8	-0.95	16.7	15.8	0.99
Jarvis Hayes	23	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-17	10	14.6	15.4	-0.79	15.9	16.6	-0.70
Bobby Simmons	47	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.08	-5	-19	14	14.6	15.8	-1.22	15.7	17.2	-1.48
Brook Lopez	61	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.26	-17	-7	-10	15.2	15.2	-0.01	17.0	15.4	1.58
Keyon Dooling	46	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.26	-17	-7	-10	16.2	14.2	1.95	16.5	16.3	0.18
Sean Williams	29	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-17	10	15.2	15.2	0.01	15.4	17.0	-1.58
Devin Harris	72	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-14	4	14.9	16.6	-1.69	16.8	14.9	1.90
Vince Carter	65	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	-7	-10	14.7	16.4	-1.66	17.2	14.6	2.61
Ryan Anderson	34	32	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.22	-22	-2	-20	15.7	14.9	0.81	15.5	16.9	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 106, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
MIN 112, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.3,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
PHX 102, MIL 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.69,0.6,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%