NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	4.5 [952]		MVP	Channing Frye (PHX): +19.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	88		Comeback	2.5 [566]		LVP	Carlos Delfino (MIL): -14.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.03	0.00	12	80%	0.20	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	14	67%	0.16	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	69%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Marcin Gortat	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	48%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	0.01
Josh Childress	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	33%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Garret Siler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zabian Dowdell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	8	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	64%	0.10	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	47%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	0.01	6	62%	0.02	7	-0.15	1	100%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.00	0.07	12	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Earl Barron	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.03	17	39%	0.04	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.03
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	13	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	8	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	0.00	7	21%	-0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	23.6	15.7	25.5	2.3	28.6	121.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +52.2%

PHX +1.4%

MIL -1.8%

MIL -5.1%

PHX +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIL	NBA	PHX	MIL	NBA
this game	14.7	16.5	15.5	109.7	95.7	105.7
season	14.5	16.2		108.0	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.7		100.9	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.9	14.7	14.6	16.7	14.7
MIL	17.9	16.0	16.7	15.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	52	52	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.16	26	-12	38	14.9	14.4	0.58	16.8	16.0	0.81
Mickael Pietrus	67	66	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.01	20	-6	26	15.2	13.3	1.86	16.2	17.0	-0.81
Channing Frye	69	69	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.01	16	-2	18	14.8	14.5	0.25	17.0	14.9	2.06
Grant Hill	65	64	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.08	12	2	10	14.4	15.4	-1.06	16.7	15.9	0.76
Robin Lopez	28	28	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	1	12	13.5	15.2	-1.65	18.7	15.5	3.30
Marcin Gortat	63	63	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	11	-8	15.3	13.4	1.90	15.5	18.6	-3.11
Hakim Warrick	24	23	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	16	-18	14.5	14.8	-0.25	14.9	17.0	-2.06
Garret Siler	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	11.5	14.8	-3.26	14.0	16.5	-2.48
Zabian Dowdell	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	12.3	14.8	-2.43	26.3	16.1	10.21
Josh Childress	12	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	14	-14	15.1	14.6	0.45	16.8	16.4	0.45
Jared Dudley	39	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	16	-18	14.4	14.9	-0.52	15.6	17.1	-1.54
Aaron Brooks	41	40	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.25	-12	26	-38	14.4	14.9	-0.58	16.0	16.8	-0.81

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Douglas-Roberts	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	20.2	16.2	3.97	14.3	14.7	-0.38
Earl Boykins	38	39	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.15	3	-17	20	15.8	16.9	-1.05	15.9	13.8	2.08
Earl Barron	25	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-14	14	18.4	15.7	2.72	13.6	15.1	-1.43
Jon Brockman	57	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-18	22	16.4	16.5	-0.09	14.1	15.6	-1.51
Carlos Delfino	54	55	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-12	10	16.3	16.7	-0.48	13.0	17.1	-4.04
Keyon Dooling	48	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.02	-8	-6	-2	16.1	16.8	-0.74	14.1	15.4	-1.29
Larry Sanders	48	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.17	-19	5	-24	16.7	16.2	0.44	14.8	14.5	0.29
Corey Maggette	54	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.01	-13	-1	-12	15.4	18.0	-2.58	15.6	13.4	2.29
Brandon Jennings	63	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	3	-20	16.5	16.4	0.06	15.1	13.8	1.35
John Salmons	67	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.00	-19	5	-24	16.9	15.4	1.51	15.4	12.8	2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.69,0.6,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 106, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
CLE 106, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
UTA 101, WAS 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.18,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.3%