NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	108		Excitement	9.0 [154]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +30.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	104		Comeback	2.0 [193]		LVP	Tony Allen (MEM): -20.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.29	0.22	0.09	0.01	16	72%	0.32	1	-0.04	11	91%	0.05
Jimmy Butler	0.28	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,0.28	-0.03	0.30	-0.00	14	46%	0.38	2	-0.11	7	43%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23	0.05	0.18	-0.00	14	55%	0.28	1	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	8	67%	0.18	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	3	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	11	44%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02
Cristiano Felicio	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Zipser	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.3,0.31	0.31	0.15	0.19	0.03	17	68%	0.36	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.10
JaMychal Green	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	8	87%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	8	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.05	0.14	-0.01	19	39%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.06	21	55%	0.11	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	5	17%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.08	0.00	8	25%	-0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	3.3	27.1	18.7	28.4	2.7	34.2	137.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +63.3%

CHI +15.6%

MEM -17.6%

MEM -15.0%

CHI +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MEM	NBA	CHI	MEM	NBA
this game	14.8	14.1	14.8	108.0	104.0	107.7
season	15.1	16.1		105.9	106.4
opponent	14.9	14.8		106.7	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.3	15.6	14.8	14.4	14.8
MEM	13.4	13.8	15.2	13.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	68	68	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.28	9	-5	14	14.7	14.8	-0.14	14.0	14.2	-0.16
Michael Carter-Williams	59	60	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.42	3	1	2	14.2	15.6	-1.37	13.2	15.3	-2.04
Cristiano Felicio	23	21	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	-6	16	14.6	14.8	-0.18	15.5	13.7	1.87
Taj Gibson	70	70	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.43	-5	9	-14	14.4	15.5	-1.07	13.3	15.7	-2.40
Denzel Valentine	19	19	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	-6	16	16.5	14.3	2.13	15.9	13.6	2.34
Jimmy Butler	81	81	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.40	-6	10	-16	14.3	16.5	-2.13	13.6	15.9	-2.34
Bobby Portis	30	30	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	-5	14	15.5	14.4	1.07	15.7	13.3	2.40
Robin Lopez	77	79	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.34	-6	10	-16	14.8	14.6	0.18	13.7	15.5	-1.87
Rajon Rondo	41	40	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	3	-2	15.6	14.2	1.37	15.3	13.2	2.04
Paul Zipser	32	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	9	-14	14.8	14.7	0.14	14.2	14.0	0.16

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chandler Parsons	39	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-3	2	14.0	14.1	-0.12	14.8	14.7	0.12
Marc Gasol	84	84	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-9	14	13.6	16.2	-2.62	14.9	14.1	0.82
Mike Conley	74	75	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.28	3	-7	10	13.4	15.9	-2.48	15.4	12.8	2.60
Zach Randolph	68	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.46	8	-12	20	13.5	15.2	-1.67	15.0	14.3	0.69
James Ennis III	45	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	0	-4	15.1	13.2	1.89	14.5	15.0	-0.47
JaMychal Green	41	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.10	-15	11	-26	14.9	13.5	1.36	14.7	14.8	-0.04
Troy Daniels	15	16	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	8	-20	15.1	13.9	1.27	12.1	15.3	-3.20
Vince Carter	63	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-3	2	13.9	14.2	-0.31	14.8	14.7	0.04
Tony Allen	71	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-1	-2	14.5	12.9	1.62	14.4	15.5	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.3,0.18,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.53,0.39,0.15,0.14,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 107, HOU 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.48,0.32,0.31,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.31,0.42,0	91.2%
CLE 86, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.28,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.23,0.53,0	91.2%
WAS 96, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.14,0.09,0	90.8%