NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	107		Excitement	9.9 [70]		MVP	Kristaps Porzingis (NYK): +26.5%
Houston Rockets	102		Comeback	2.0 [371]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -14.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0.27	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.27	0.13	0.13	-0.00	12	80%	0.39	3	-0.13	6	100%	0.12
Jose Calderon	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.04	-0.01	5	92%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	9	57%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.12,0.02	-0.00	0.06	0.03	10	58%	0.11	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Jerian Grant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	43%	0.06	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.06
Derrick Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	43%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Robin Lopez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Lance Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	0	0%	-0.04	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.07
Arron Afflalo	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.11,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	18	42%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.02	9	67%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.09	0.00	7	50%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.06
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	11	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	9	70%	0.09	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.04
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Terrence Jones	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	14	49%	-0.00	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.11,0,-0.14	-0.14	0.01	-0.15	0.01	20	53%	-0.04	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	33.2	15.5	23.4	1.7	44.3	144.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +31.4%

HOU -3.4%

NYK +29.8%

HOU -8.1%

NYK +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	HOU	NBA	NYK	HOU	NBA
this game	18.0	15.1	14.9	124.4	115.9	105.1
season	15.6	14.0		103.5	105.9
opponent	15.1	14.8		106.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.1	16.2	19.2	18.8	18.0
HOU	15.4	15.1	15.8	14.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kristaps Porzingis	64	64	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.32	14	-9	23	18.7	16.2	2.49	15.3	14.5	0.89
Arron Afflalo	62	63	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.36	12	-7	19	18.9	15.7	3.23	15.5	14.1	1.37
Jose Calderon	58	58	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-3	11	19.0	16.1	2.86	15.8	13.8	1.93
Langston Galloway	44	47	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	3	-1	17.2	18.9	-1.61	13.6	16.8	-3.19
Carmelo Anthony	42	46	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	-2	9	19.3	16.8	2.49	15.8	14.3	1.47
Robin Lopez	44	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	-3	11	18.4	17.6	0.81	16.4	13.8	2.62
Lance Thomas	46	44	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.25	-4	9	-13	17.3	18.9	-1.57	14.6	15.6	-1.02
Kevin Seraphin	12	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	11	-17	17.2	18.2	-0.91	13.8	15.3	-1.56
Derrick Williams	20	21	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	10	-15	15.0	19.0	-3.95	13.7	15.6	-1.89
Lou Amundson	13	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	9	-13	16.8	18.3	-1.49	15.5	15.0	0.47
Jerian Grant	25	27	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.01	-7	12	-19	15.4	19.1	-3.77	13.9	15.7	-1.80

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	53	53	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.17	11	-16	27	15.8	14.1	1.64	18.8	16.7	2.12
Marcus Thornton	37	34	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.27	10	-15	25	14.4	15.6	-1.30	16.2	19.2	-3.02
Ty Lawson	31	30	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-5	5	15.0	15.1	-0.11	17.6	18.2	-0.62
Corey Brewer	39	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-6	7	13.4	16.4	-3.04	18.2	17.9	0.37
Montrezl Harrell	21	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.17	-14	9	-23	14.6	15.3	-0.63	15.5	18.9	-3.39
Jason Terry	56	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-2	-1	15.4	14.6	0.80	18.5	17.3	1.16
Trevor Ariza	67	66	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.30	-11	6	-17	15.2	14.7	0.57	18.1	17.8	0.24
Terrence Jones	67	67	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.38	-9	4	-13	15.3	14.6	0.70	18.0	18.1	-0.09
James Harden	69	67	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.37	-10	5	-15	15.6	13.3	2.35	18.8	15.3	3.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.48,0.32,0.31,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.31,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 86, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.28,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.23,0.53,0	92.9%
SEA 98, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.41,0	91.7%
CHI 108, MEM 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.3,0.18,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.53,0.39,0.15,0.14,0.42,0	91.2%