NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	6.6 [522]		MVP	Otto Porter (WAS): +34.7%
Washington Wizards	111		Comeback	1.7 [866]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (IND): -11.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.33	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.19,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33	0.24	0.11	0.03	20	71%	0.33	0	0.00	8	100%	0.07
Myles Turner	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.03	0.05	-0.00	9	71%	0.15	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	12	61%	0.06	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.02
CJ Miles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Al Jefferson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Glenn Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	10	48%	-0.03	4	-0.08	3	33%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.18	0.16	-0.01	10	81%	0.38	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.09	0.03	19	71%	0.34	5	-0.13	13	92%	0.05
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	57%	0.07	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	9	55%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sheldon McClellan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.06	0.00	11	42%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	31.2	14.8	27.3	2.3	37.5	140.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +42.2%

IND -0.7%

WAS +29.0%

IND -19.1%

IND -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	15.1	14.0	14.8	106.1	112.1	107.7
season	14.9	14.4		107.5	109.9
opponent	14.9	14.8		108.7	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.2	15.3	15.2	14.5	15.1
WAS	14.2	13.0	13.6	15.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	28	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-5	4	16.5	14.5	1.97	15.0	13.7	1.27
Glenn Robinson	45	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-7	8	14.4	15.6	-1.19	12.9	15.0	-2.08
Aaron Brooks	22	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-4	2	14.0	15.3	-1.29	14.7	13.8	0.88
Paul George	74	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.34	7	-13	20	15.2	14.6	0.66	14.8	12.0	2.71
Kevin Seraphin	17	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	2	-10	16.5	14.8	1.71	13.7	14.1	-0.39
Thaddeus Young	73	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.29	2	-8	10	14.8	15.7	-0.82	13.9	14.5	-0.62
Monta Ellis	35	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-1	-4	15.0	15.1	-0.03	15.5	13.2	2.34
Jeff Teague	77	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-2	-2	15.3	14.0	1.29	13.8	14.7	-0.88
Myles Turner	71	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-1	-4	14.5	16.5	-1.97	13.7	15.0	-1.27
CJ Miles	53	53	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.16	-15	9	-24	15.2	14.8	0.38	13.3	14.8	-1.51

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	86	86	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	0	6	13.8	15.3	-1.46	15.2	14.2	0.94
John Wall	81	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	1	4	13.4	16.9	-3.48	14.9	15.7	-0.75
Jason Smith	39	38	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	-9	24	13.6	14.3	-0.79	14.6	15.4	-0.81
Otto Porter	67	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	0	6	14.1	13.9	0.15	15.5	14.2	1.26
Kelly Oubre Jr.	42	43	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.26	1	5	-4	14.7	13.6	1.09	14.6	15.4	-0.79
Bradley Beal	39	39	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	-3	12	12.5	15.0	-2.56	14.6	15.3	-0.72
Marcus Thornton	37	38	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	6	-6	15.4	13.2	2.22	16.3	14.3	2.01
Markieff Morris	52	53	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.30	-7	13	-20	14.2	13.9	0.36	15.3	14.8	0.50
Trey Burke	23	23	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.02	2	4	-2	15.3	13.7	1.59	14.3	15.3	-1.03
Andrew Nicholson	13	13	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	6	-6	15.3	13.8	1.46	14.2	15.2	-0.94
Sheldon McClellan	16	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	13	-20	14.8	13.9	0.92	14.9	15.1	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 90, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.88,0.78,0.9,0.72,0.86,0.91,1	93.6%
DEN 86, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.81,0.82,0.95,0.89,0.94,1,1	93.2%
POR 98, DAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.63,0.57,0.96,1	93.1%