NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	86		Excitement	5.8 [634]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): +15.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	2.4 [527]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -16.0%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	23	58%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.05
James Posey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	5	67%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tracy Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	17	62%	0.08	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.02
Keon Clark	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Robert Pack	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Voshon Lenard	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	13	34%	-0.13	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.01	9	74%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	9	75%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	10	64%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	8	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	45%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	14	42%	-0.11	3	-0.05	8	37%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	28.6	15.8	24.3	2.4	31.5	130.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +27.5%

LAC +6.7%

LAC +7.4%

LAC +4.8%

LAC +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	14.4	15.8	15.5	89.6	96.8	100.9
season	15.2	16.1		101.4	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.2		102.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.7	14.9	14.0	13.7	14.4
LAC	13.5	12.8	20.3	17.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Pack	20	21	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-11	16	15.6	14.0	1.61	15.8	15.8	-0.04
Ryan Bowen	31	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-2	-2	14.4	14.4	0.02	12.8	17.2	-4.32
Tracy Murray	29	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-1	-4	15.0	14.1	0.94	14.2	16.5	-2.23
Keon Clark	26	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	1	-8	13.1	14.9	-1.78	13.4	16.7	-3.30
James Posey	59	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.24	-1	-5	4	13.6	15.6	-2.03	17.1	13.5	3.65
Antonio McDyess	87	87	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.34	0	-6	6	14.6	12.2	2.38	15.7	17.1	-1.46
Raef LaFrentz	79	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-1	-4	14.6	13.5	1.03	16.7	11.6	5.12
Voshon Lenard	62	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	2	-10	14.5	14.1	0.49	16.2	15.0	1.25
Nick Van Exel	87	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.32	-5	-1	-4	14.3	15.4	-1.18	16.1	13.2	2.89

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	77	77	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.19	21	-15	36	15.8	15.6	0.22	14.8	12.8	1.91
Michael Olowokandi	62	64	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	-4	14	16.8	13.9	2.83	15.1	12.9	2.20
Earl Boykins	37	37	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-11	28	13.9	17.0	-3.02	14.8	14.1	0.75
Eric Piatkowski	46	46	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	2	2	15.2	16.3	-1.07	13.8	14.9	-1.10
Cherokee Parks	54	53	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	1	4	14.5	17.5	-2.94	14.4	14.3	0.13
Darius Miles	55	56	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.28	0	6	-6	17.3	13.7	3.52	14.6	14.1	0.43
Jeff McInnis	60	61	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.35	-9	15	-24	16.5	14.5	2.02	13.7	15.5	-1.75
Quentin Richardson	46	48	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	4	-2	16.0	15.6	0.37	14.5	14.2	0.25
Derek Strong	6	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	9	-12	20.2	15.5	4.67	17.7	14.2	3.51
Sean Rooks	10	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	10	-14	9.3	16.6	-7.25	9.9	14.9	-5.00
Corey Maggette	22	22	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.12	-13	19	-32	15.9	15.8	0.10	13.4	14.7	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.81,0.82,0.95,0.89,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 105, WAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.84,0.98,1	93.2%
CHI 81, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	93.1%
DAL 93, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	93.0%