NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	90		Excitement	7.1 [328]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +24.9%
Utah Jazz	97		Comeback	1.7 [371]		LVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): -35.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.15	0.13	0.03	11	88%	0.31	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Daequan Cook	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.06	-0.00	11	61%	0.11	4	-0.17	6	67%	-0.06
Serge Ibaka	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	10	46%	-0.00	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.02
Kevin Durant	-0.36	0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.35,-0.36	-0.20	-0.18	-0.02	22	36%	-0.17	6	-0.19	6	83%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.12	-0.02	16	59%	0.24	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	10	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	0.01	15	47%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	7	79%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.03	0.01	10	46%	0.06	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	2	58%	0.05	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.03
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	11	42%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.6	28.2	15.7	24.3	2.4	33.5	133.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +36.4%

OKC -0.5%

OKC -7.2%

UTA +21.0%

UTA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	UTA	NBA	OKC	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	15.5	15.6	100.0	104.3	102.8
season	14.7	15.8		107.9	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.8		104.7	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.0	16.5	15.1	17.4	16.0
UTA	13.8	15.5	18.3	14.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	29	29	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-11	15	15.0	16.4	-1.41	16.6	15.0	1.59
Daequan Cook	14	13	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-10	13	15.4	16.1	-0.66	18.0	15.1	2.91
Nazr Mohammed	24	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-7	7	16.0	16.0	0.07	17.2	14.9	2.33
Reggie Jackson	23	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-6	5	16.3	15.9	0.37	17.3	14.9	2.42
Royal Ivey	7	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-5	3	19.4	15.7	3.73	11.7	16.0	-4.25
Nick Collison	36	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-6	5	16.2	15.8	0.39	15.8	15.3	0.44
Serge Ibaka	61	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-6	5	15.7	16.7	-1.03	15.6	15.3	0.33
Kendrick Perkins	55	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	1	-9	16.0	16.0	-0.06	15.4	15.7	-0.33
Russell Westbrook	67	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	-1	-5	15.9	16.3	-0.37	14.9	17.3	-2.42
Kevin Durant	73	76	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.23	-12	5	-17	15.9	16.2	-0.30	14.9	18.2	-3.35
James Harden	61	64	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.28	-11	4	-15	16.4	15.0	1.41	15.0	16.6	-1.59

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	57	55	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-5	17	14.9	16.5	-1.64	15.7	16.5	-0.81
Devin Harris	58	56	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-4	15	15.3	15.9	-0.63	16.1	15.8	0.27
Gordon Hayward	60	59	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.27	4	3	1	15.7	15.2	0.48	16.0	15.9	0.08
Paul Millsap	64	62	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	1	5	15.1	16.4	-1.39	15.6	16.9	-1.36
Al Jefferson	58	57	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	1	5	15.7	15.2	0.52	15.9	16.1	-0.16
Derrick Favors	42	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	5	-3	15.2	15.7	-0.51	16.5	15.6	0.92
Alec Burks	48	46	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	8	-9	15.5	15.5	0.05	16.0	16.0	-0.07
Enes Kanter	22	22	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	7	-7	16.8	15.1	1.67	16.4	15.9	0.56
Jamaal Tinsley	35	34	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	11	-15	15.9	15.3	0.63	15.8	16.1	-0.27
DeMarre Carroll	21	20	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	8	-9	16.7	15.2	1.51	16.8	15.7	1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.88,0.78,0.9,0.72,0.86,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 105, WAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.84,0.98,1	93.6%
DAL 93, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	92.7%
WAS 77, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.65,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.6%