NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	77		Excitement	6.6 [466]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (CHI): +14.4%
Chicago Bulls	87		Comeback	2.1 [1091]		LVP	Garrett Temple (WAS): -21.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	8	39%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Emeka Okafor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	46%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Bradley Beal	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.03	15	41%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Cartier Martin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	11	50%	0.00	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Nene	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	11	36%	-0.10	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.07
Garrett Temple	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	11	33%	-0.08	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.10	-0.03	16	50%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	12	48%	0.09	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.01	6	71%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	11	37%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	13	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	2.4	28.5	15.6	26.1	2.5	31.2	127.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +29.8%

CHI +4.3%

WAS -16.1%

CHI +29.4%

CHI +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.1	16.1	15.4	82.8	94.6	104.1
season	15.1	16.6		98.8	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.7		102.3	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.7	16.7	14.0	14.1	15.1
CHI	16.4	15.3	16.0	16.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	54	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-11	12	14.6	15.6	-0.99	16.0	16.2	-0.13
Jan Vesely	17	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-2	-6	15.3	15.0	0.28	13.2	16.7	-3.56
Cartier Martin	21	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-4	-2	15.9	14.8	1.02	16.1	16.1	0.02
Shelvin Mack	40	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-9	8	15.1	15.0	0.11	16.9	15.5	1.39
Nene	47	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-4	-2	15.0	15.1	-0.04	17.0	15.2	1.76
Martell Webster	72	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-6	2	14.8	15.9	-1.02	16.1	16.1	-0.02
Bradley Beal	67	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	0	-10	14.9	15.4	-0.50	15.5	17.6	-2.04
Garrett Temple	79	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	-1	-8	15.2	14.6	0.58	16.2	15.6	0.54
Emeka Okafor	68	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	-3	-4	15.4	14.3	1.07	16.2	15.6	0.67

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	65	64	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.13	16	-6	22	15.6	17.2	-1.57	15.0	15.2	-0.26
Jimmy Butler	19	21	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	-1	12	15.3	16.3	-0.96	16.7	14.6	2.13
Kirk Hinrich	63	64	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	4	2	16.2	15.7	0.51	14.8	15.6	-0.71
Joakim Noah	71	71	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.20	5	5	0	16.0	16.4	-0.46	15.2	14.5	0.74
Taj Gibson	33	33	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	2	6	15.8	16.2	-0.45	14.0	15.6	-1.60
Carlos Boozer	55	56	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	6	-2	16.4	15.6	0.81	15.8	13.9	1.86
Nate Robinson	28	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	4	2	16.3	16.0	0.30	15.9	14.7	1.19
Nazr Mohammed	25	26	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	7	-4	16.0	16.1	-0.05	14.3	15.4	-1.05
Luol Deng	73	72	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.16	-1	11	-12	16.3	15.3	0.96	14.6	16.7	-2.13
Marquis Teague	1	1	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	12	-14	0.0	16.3	-16.25	6.0	15.2	-9.16
Richard Hamilton	27	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	16	-22	17.2	15.6	1.57	15.2	15.0	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.65,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
		93.6%
NJN 77, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.77,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.9,0.93,1,1,1	93.4%
NYK 91, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1	93.2%