NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	85		Excitement	7.3 [405]		MVP	Nikola Mirotic (CHI): +30.5%
Chicago Bulls	90		Comeback	1.1 [874]		LVP	Jeff Teague (IND): -11.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.26	0.13	0.13	-0.01	8	95%	0.37	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Al Jefferson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	0.00	9	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rodney Stuckey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	11	55%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	14	48%	0.12	4	-0.24	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	8	33%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.31	0.31	0.12	0.18	-0.00	13	67%	0.31	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	7	71%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.06	-0.01	12	42%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	0.01	19	49%	0.06	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	1	33%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	12	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	12	75%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	5	8%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	8	47%	0.01	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	25.3	15.5	24.5	2.4	37.3	130.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -4.5%

CHI +15.2%

CHI +18.3%

CHI +23.4%

IND -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	15.4	15.8	14.8	91.4	97.8	107.7
season	14.9	15.1		107.5	105.9
opponent	14.8	14.8		105.9	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.9	16.2	15.2	15.2	15.4
CHI	15.8	15.8	14.2	17.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	16	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-9	13	17.3	14.9	2.36	15.4	15.9	-0.45
Rodney Stuckey	12	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-3	1	13.6	15.6	-2.03	16.1	15.7	0.34
Al Jefferson	38	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-4	3	15.6	15.2	0.42	16.1	15.6	0.50
Aaron Brooks	48	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.39	8	-13	21	14.9	15.9	-1.03	15.7	15.8	-0.12
CJ Miles	50	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-10	15	14.7	16.1	-1.37	16.1	15.4	0.72
Jeff Teague	45	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	8	-21	15.9	14.9	1.03	15.8	15.7	0.12
Myles Turner	55	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-1	-3	15.2	15.6	-0.42	15.6	16.1	-0.50
Glenn Robinson	63	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	1	-7	16.2	13.6	2.59	14.6	18.4	-3.80
Thaddeus Young	61	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	3	-11	14.9	16.2	-1.27	16.6	14.3	2.31
Paul George	77	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	3	-11	15.3	15.6	-0.33	15.9	15.1	0.82

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	64	67	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-6	17	15.3	16.9	-1.60	15.0	16.3	-1.27
Taj Gibson	43	43	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	-2	9	15.2	16.3	-1.08	15.4	15.3	0.16
Jimmy Butler	75	76	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	2	1	16.4	13.0	3.41	15.0	16.9	-1.87
Nikola Mirotic	57	57	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.38	-3	8	-11	16.0	15.5	0.53	14.5	16.6	-2.10
Rajon Rondo	46	46	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	-3	11	15.6	16.0	-0.35	15.8	14.9	0.85
Michael Carter-Williams	39	37	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.19	2	3	-1	14.6	16.7	-2.12	15.4	15.4	-0.01
Cristiano Felicio	23	24	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	3	-1	14.9	16.1	-1.22	16.1	15.1	1.04
Robin Lopez	61	62	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	1	3	16.3	14.7	1.67	15.7	14.6	1.16
Jerian Grant	52	53	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.35	-9	14	-23	16.5	14.8	1.74	15.9	14.6	1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.83,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.77,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 85, HOU 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.85,0.95,1	92.5%
PHI 77, DET 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.84,1	92.4%
IND 95, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.71,0.55,0.85,1	92.1%