NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	77		Excitement	7.9 [268]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (DET): +59.0%
Detroit Pistons	78		Comeback	3.2 [355]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -34.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0.37	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,0.37	-0.04	0.40	-0.01	10	62%	0.47	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Derrick Coleman	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	11	72%	0.15	2	-0.06	10	80%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	12	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	10	20%	-0.15	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.22,-0.25,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.33,-0.33,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32,-0.51,-0.35	-0.28	-0.11	-0.04	25	26%	-0.15	4	-0.19	4	50%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,0.59	0.59	0.01	0.58	-0.00	11	61%	0.72	2	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.23	0.23	0.02	0.21	0.00	11	52%	0.23	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	5	55%	0.03	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	11	37%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	20	47%	-0.01	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	3.6	29.4	18.0	30.3	3.7	41.3	152.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +62.0%

PHI -2.9%

PHI -15.6%

DET +9.0%

PHI -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	16.5	16.4	15.5	88.5	88.6	101.6
season	15.3	16.8		102.1	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.5		97.8	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.5	17.5	17.3	14.6	16.5
DET	14.2	17.6	15.4	18.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	50	54	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.16	0	-1	1	17.8	14.7	3.10	16.7	15.9	0.80
Greg Buckner	18	20	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.11	7	-8	15	13.9	17.2	-3.27	16.7	16.3	0.41
Monty Williams	14	12	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-3	5	19.2	16.0	3.26	17.2	16.3	0.85
Brian Skinner	12	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.04	-2	1	-3	19.5	16.0	3.50	14.9	16.7	-1.75
Aaron McKie	56	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.52	8	-9	17	15.3	18.6	-3.31	16.2	16.8	-0.67
Eric Snow	64	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	3	-7	16.1	17.6	-1.47	16.2	17.0	-0.72
Derrick Coleman	75	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.48	-1	0	-1	16.0	19.5	-3.50	16.9	13.9	2.94
Allen Iverson	82	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	3	-7	16.3	19.0	-2.67	16.2	19.6	-3.36
Kenny Thomas	64	65	-0.99	0.49	-1.48	-0.67	-11	10	-21	17.2	14.5	2.72	16.4	16.6	-0.24

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	60	58	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.97	-8	9	-17	17.3	14.6	2.62	15.3	18.8	-3.47
Jon Barry	21	21	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.73	-3	4	-7	17.0	16.3	0.75	16.4	16.5	-0.13
Chucky Atkins	74	72	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	-3	7	16.4	16.4	0.00	16.1	18.5	-2.40
Richard Hamilton	71	71	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	0	1	16.1	17.8	-1.65	16.0	18.6	-2.55
Tayshaun Prince	55	53	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.53	-9	10	-19	17.6	14.5	3.16	15.7	17.6	-1.91
Clifford Robinson	34	36	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.06	9	-8	17	15.2	17.2	-2.00	17.6	15.7	1.97
Corliss Williamson	11	12	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	-1	3	17.3	16.3	0.96	20.7	15.8	4.95
Ben Wallace	81	79	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.19	2	-1	3	16.4	16.6	-0.15	17.0	11.2	5.76
Michael Curry	33	33	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.42	7	-6	13	14.3	17.7	-3.45	17.6	15.8	1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 98, CHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.85,1	92.8%
HOU 79, LAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.95,0.81,0.78,0.96,0.96,1	92.7%
TOR 85, HOU 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.85,0.95,1	92.7%