NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	98		Excitement	7.0 [393]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): +20.3%
Chicago Bulls	100		Comeback	1.1 [856]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -23.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Doleac	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0	0.08	-0.02	0.05	9	78%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Allan Houston	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	14	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	10	80%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Howard Eisley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	11	29%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.18,-0.13	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	16	50%	0.02	2	-0.15	8	75%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24	-0.15	-0.10	-0.01	12	29%	-0.10	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.10	0.00	15	71%	0.26	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.08	0.00	17	73%	0.25	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	54%	0.03	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.02
Jay Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	20	38%	-0.03	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.7	27.4	15.8	26.0	1.8	36.0	133.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +64.3%

NYK -8.6%

NYK -0.6%

NYK -7.2%

CHI +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	15.3	15.3	15.5	105.4	105.3	101.6
season	15.6	15.0		102.6	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.3	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.1	15.1	18.4	13.1	15.3
CHI	15.5	16.9	13.2	15.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	48	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	2	-6	16.4	14.2	2.24	14.2	16.5	-2.32
Allan Houston	81	82	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.45	10	-12	22	15.0	17.5	-2.49	14.9	18.1	-3.21
Shandon Anderson	28	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	0	-2	14.7	15.6	-0.94	17.2	14.5	2.76
Howard Eisley	46	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	5	-12	16.7	14.0	2.65	14.3	16.3	-1.95
Michael Doleac	29	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-2	2	17.2	14.5	2.77	15.2	15.3	-0.08
Kurt Thomas	64	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.20	-2	0	-2	14.5	17.2	-2.77	15.3	15.2	0.08
Charlie Ward	47	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.44	5	-7	12	14.0	16.7	-2.65	16.3	14.3	1.95
Clar. Weatherspoon	45	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.43	2	-4	6	14.2	16.4	-2.24	16.5	14.2	2.32
Latrell Sprewell	77	80	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.31	-12	10	-22	15.9	12.6	3.35	15.1	16.5	-1.46

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	68	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	-3	8	14.2	18.1	-3.97	16.0	13.6	2.44
Jalen Rose	78	78	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.35	1	1	0	14.8	17.7	-2.92	15.4	15.2	0.16
Tyson Chandler	86	84	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.48	-4	6	-10	15.2	16.7	-1.50	15.0	18.7	-3.69
Corie Blount	37	35	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.21	3	-1	4	14.2	16.0	-1.87	16.1	14.9	1.21
Eddy Curry	58	58	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.24	-1	3	-4	16.0	14.2	1.87	14.9	16.1	-1.21
Trenton Hassell	32	31	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	0	2	16.6	14.6	1.99	14.7	15.7	-0.98
Lonny Baxter	9	9	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	-4	10	16.7	15.2	1.50	18.7	15.0	3.69
Rick Brunson	13	12	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	1	0	17.1	15.0	2.05	12.8	15.7	-2.87
Eddie Robinson	50	48	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.44	-11	13	-24	14.2	16.6	-2.38	16.3	14.3	1.94
Donyell Marshall	10	11	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.09	7	-5	12	16.1	15.2	0.89	13.5	15.6	-2.03
Roger Mason Jr.	7	6	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	-2	6	18.7	15.0	3.68	19.2	15.1	4.10
Jay Williams	27	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	5	-8	18.1	14.2	3.97	13.6	16.0	-2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 85, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	94.0%
PHI 107, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.89,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.89,0.85,1	93.6%
BKN 84, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.85,0.92,1	93.5%