NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	79		Excitement	6.3 [530]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +22.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	88		Comeback	1.0 [1142]		LVP	Metta World Peace (LAL): -12.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	11	68%	0.08	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.02
Chase Budinger	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Charles Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	14	48%	0.08	3	-0.11	3	33%	-0.03
Trevor Ariza	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	14	41%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	39%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	16	50%	0.04	5	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
David Andersen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.13	0.02	10	74%	0.24	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	16	62%	0.19	3	-0.06	7	57%	-0.03
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.03	-0.00	4	40%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	23	44%	0.05	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	11	32%	-0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	30.4	15.8	25.4	1.8	35.0	134.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +34.7%

HOU -1.9%

LAL +19.9%

HOU -3.0%

LAL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	14.8	16.0	15.3	84.9	93.6	106.0
season	15.0	15.7		106.0	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.1		103.0	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.5	14.6	15.5	12.6	14.8
LAL	14.2	16.7	18.0	15.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	19	20	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.18	8	-17	25	12.3	15.4	-3.13	15.9	16.1	-0.18
Carl Landry	60	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.30	5	-14	19	13.4	17.1	-3.67	16.6	15.1	1.50
Trevor Ariza	74	74	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-7	5	14.4	16.1	-1.70	16.2	15.3	0.88
David Andersen	27	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-5	1	16.5	14.0	2.49	15.9	16.1	-0.26
Charles Hayes	32	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.07	-12	3	-15	17.0	13.6	3.43	15.2	16.5	-1.20
Kyle Lowry	38	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-6	3	14.5	14.9	-0.38	15.8	16.2	-0.42
Luis Scola	67	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-2	-5	14.1	16.3	-2.21	16.0	16.1	-0.10
Aaron Brooks	73	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.13	-13	4	-17	15.3	12.9	2.36	16.1	15.9	0.18
Shane Battier	75	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.06	-17	8	-25	15.3	12.3	3.07	16.0	16.3	-0.29

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bynum	76	74	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.21	16	-7	23	15.6	18.0	-2.42	14.9	14.2	0.75
Kobe Bryant	84	83	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-5	19	15.8	17.8	-1.97	14.9	13.7	1.18
Derek Fisher	51	51	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.02	19	-10	29	15.4	16.8	-1.38	15.1	14.3	0.85
Lamar Odom	76	75	0.28	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	4	1	15.9	16.6	-0.63	14.7	14.8	-0.03
Shannon Brown	31	32	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	5	-1	16.1	16.0	0.03	14.4	15.0	-0.58
Metta World Peace	62	61	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	4	1	16.3	15.6	0.63	15.8	12.8	2.96
Josh Powell	30	31	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.12	-3	12	-15	17.4	15.4	2.04	14.1	15.1	-0.94
DJ Mbenga	6	6	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	9	-9	16.5	16.0	0.49	16.2	14.7	1.51
Sasha Vujacic	15	15	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	12	-15	16.5	15.9	0.58	10.5	15.6	-5.03
Jordan Farmar	39	37	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.22	-12	21	-33	16.8	15.5	1.24	14.3	15.1	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.95,0.81,0.78,0.96,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 98, DET 105	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.95,1	94.1%
NJN 97, SAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.86,0.95,0.91,1	93.6%
BKN 84, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.85,0.92,1	93.4%