NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	8.4 [212]		MVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): +16.2%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	1.1 [845]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -31.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07	0.15	-0.07	0.01	12	70%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,0.05	-0.04	0.08	-0.01	20	48%	0.14	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Joe Young	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	62%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Solomon Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	53%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Chase Budinger	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	7	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	5	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.13
Jordan Hill	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	7	28%	-0.08	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Paul George	-0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.32	0.02	-0.37	-0.02	20	57%	-0.21	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.07	0.00	18	57%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	9	55%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	12	53%	0.07	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	53%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	8	41%	-0.06	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	11	20%	-0.20	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.6	29.4	14.7	30.6	2.4	34.8	135.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +20.0%

CHI +11.9%

CHI +0.8%

CHI +12.1%

CHI +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	14.9	97.9	99.0	105.1
season	14.6	14.8		103.2	103.7
opponent	14.9	14.9		105.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.2	16.2	13.4	16.4	14.9
CHI	15.1	13.2	12.8	18.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	42	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	0	-1	13.1	16.3	-3.21	13.1	16.0	-2.82
Jordan Hill	51	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	0	-1	15.8	13.9	1.91	16.0	13.4	2.59
Glenn Robinson	33	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	5	-11	16.8	13.9	2.88	13.2	15.6	-2.41
Joe Young	25	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	6	-13	15.9	14.6	1.30	14.0	15.0	-0.99
CJ Miles	52	55	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.45	7	-8	15	14.4	15.5	-1.07	15.4	13.9	1.53
Ian Mahinmi	60	58	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.37	4	-5	9	14.2	16.1	-1.97	14.6	15.1	-0.55
Paul George	76	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.41	5	-6	11	14.0	18.3	-4.30	15.6	11.5	4.04
Monta Ellis	72	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.46	6	-7	13	14.6	15.9	-1.30	15.0	14.0	0.99
Solomon Hill	27	25	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	6	-13	17.6	13.9	3.76	13.2	15.3	-2.12
Lavoy Allen	47	47	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.45	-5	4	-9	15.7	14.2	1.48	15.0	14.6	0.44

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
E'Twaun Moore	29	28	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.58	4	-3	7	15.3	14.5	0.82	17.5	13.9	3.58
Joakim Noah	43	39	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.48	-2	3	-5	14.8	14.8	0.03	15.6	14.5	1.12
Jimmy Butler	72	72	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.41	-1	2	-3	15.8	11.8	4.06	14.2	17.0	-2.75
Taj Gibson	59	60	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.49	-5	6	-11	15.8	13.1	2.74	15.9	13.3	2.58
Derrick Rose	68	70	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	-4	9	14.0	16.5	-2.44	15.0	14.7	0.24
Tony Snell	60	61	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.36	-5	6	-11	14.0	16.0	-1.98	14.4	15.9	-1.50
Doug McDermott	35	35	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	-4	9	13.5	15.5	-1.92	16.0	14.3	1.65
Nikola Mirotic	38	37	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	-5	11	13.1	15.8	-2.74	13.3	15.9	-2.58
Pau Gasol	54	58	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	-2	5	14.8	14.8	-0.03	14.5	15.6	-1.12
Kirk Hinrich	27	25	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.11	-5	6	-11	16.5	14.1	2.37	13.8	15.3	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.71,0.55,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 85, HOU 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.85,0.95,1	92.5%
UTA 103, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.69,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.84,0.55,0.72,1	92.4%
GSW 74, SAS 76	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.71,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.86,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.85,1	92.4%