NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	109		Excitement	6.4 [570]		MVP	Vince Carter (MEM): +23.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	115		Comeback	2.0 [369]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -14.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.03	0.04	18	79%	0.27	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Patrick Beverley	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.06	0.02	11	54%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	5	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	11	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nene	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Sam Dekker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1	-0.00	-0.05	0.05	19	44%	-0.06	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
James Harden	-0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	13	55%	0.08	9	-0.22	3	67%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.09	-0.01	8	87%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.00	7	93%	0.20	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.02	11	73%	0.16	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	17	63%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	3	70%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.03	-0.03	6	31%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	14	47%	0.01	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	28.3	15.4	25.4	1.8	42.0	137.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +38.5%

HOU -4.0%

HOU -7.3%

MEM +13.7%

MEM +9.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	14.0	16.3	14.8	114.7	121.1	107.7
season	13.7	16.1		113.2	106.4
opponent	14.9	14.9		106.7	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.6	16.0	13.5	12.3	14.0
MEM	17.5	16.7	17.7	13.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	71	71	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.37	16	-22	38	13.4	15.7	-2.37	17.0	14.5	2.46
Montrezl Harrell	52	56	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.25	12	-18	30	13.6	14.4	-0.76	17.0	15.4	1.66
James Harden	72	75	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.34	10	-16	26	13.2	16.5	-3.30	16.3	16.3	0.05
Corey Brewer	9	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	1	-8	17.7	13.6	4.07	15.7	16.4	-0.74
Ryan Anderson	71	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.46	3	-9	12	13.5	15.3	-1.76	16.1	17.1	-0.99
Sam Dekker	31	30	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.03	-17	11	-28	16.3	12.9	3.38	16.8	16.1	0.63
Patrick Beverley	69	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.27	-7	1	-8	13.9	14.2	-0.29	16.0	17.2	-1.20
Nene	37	34	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.02	-19	13	-32	15.3	13.1	2.16	15.5	16.8	-1.26
Eric Gordon	63	62	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.03	-21	15	-36	14.0	13.9	0.11	16.0	17.0	-0.97

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	44	46	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.23	13	-7	20	14.8	17.6	-2.83	13.7	14.2	-0.55
Zach Randolph	39	40	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.08	17	-11	28	15.6	16.8	-1.18	14.8	13.4	1.46
Jarell Martin	29	30	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.08	16	-10	26	15.1	16.9	-1.78	14.8	13.6	1.20
Andrew Harrison	38	38	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	-8	22	16.1	16.5	-0.34	14.4	13.7	0.69
James Ennis III	39	40	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	-3	12	17.2	15.7	1.52	14.0	13.9	0.12
Troy Daniels	21	20	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	6	-6	16.0	16.4	-0.49	13.5	14.1	-0.61
Mike Conley	58	58	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.24	-6	12	-18	16.6	16.0	0.55	13.6	14.6	-0.96
Chandler Parsons	30	28	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	9	-12	17.2	16.0	1.21	14.8	13.6	1.19
Tony Allen	56	56	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.21	-7	13	-20	16.6	15.9	0.66	13.9	14.1	-0.17
Marc Gasol	68	67	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.27	-12	18	-30	16.9	14.8	2.13	13.8	14.3	-0.49
JaMychal Green	53	52	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.21	-11	17	-28	16.7	15.9	0.73	13.2	15.0	-1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.82,0.76,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.86,0.98,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 89, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.4%
POR 98, PHX 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%
TOR 82, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%