NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	113		Excitement	9.0 [148]		MVP	Jordan Clarkson (LAL): +34.3%
Charlotte Hornets	117		Comeback	9.7 [277]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -28.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.24	0.11	0.00	13	96%	0.38	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.01	12	53%	0.14	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
D'Angelo Russell	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.02	13	54%	0.14	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Larry Nance Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	83%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Ingram	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.15,-0.08	0.14	-0.19	0.02	18	65%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	12	33%	-0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.12	0.02	12	79%	0.33	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.04
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.09	-0.01	10	57%	0.20	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	69%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Cody Zeller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.02	0.04	10	68%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.08	0.01	11	27%	-0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.28	-0.28	0.02	-0.27	0.03	26	52%	-0.19	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	26.3	15.4	27.4	2.5	31.4	129.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -30.4%

CHA +5.5%

CHA +67.5%

CHA +5.6%

CHA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHA	NBA	LAL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.3	16.1	14.8	117.7	124.5	107.7
season	14.5	15.1		104.8	107.9
opponent	14.8	14.4		107.9	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.4	14.3	13.9	14.7	14.3
CHA	13.3	19.3	13.3	19.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Ingram	58	55	0.38	-0.88	1.27	0.09	10	-14	24	13.2	16.0	-2.82	16.9	14.9	1.99
D'Angelo Russell	52	51	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.36	-7	3	-10	15.1	13.3	1.80	15.7	16.5	-0.74
Lou Williams	57	57	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.48	18	-22	40	12.5	16.9	-4.47	16.5	15.4	1.17
Ivica Zubac	7	6	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-4	4	10.3	14.6	-4.30	11.3	16.4	-5.05
Larry Nance Jr.	42	41	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-5	6	13.1	15.2	-2.05	16.0	16.1	-0.07
Timofey Mozgov	23	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.00	-6	2	-8	16.9	13.5	3.42	13.4	16.9	-3.48
Jordan Clarkson	61	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.60	6	-10	16	13.0	16.4	-3.40	16.8	14.7	2.13
Julius Randle	62	61	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.23	-12	8	-20	15.3	12.4	2.88	16.1	15.9	0.19
Luol Deng	65	64	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.54	-8	4	-12	15.5	11.7	3.83	16.4	15.4	0.93
Nick Young	53	52	-1.18	0.68	-1.86	-0.53	-22	18	-40	15.7	12.6	3.10	15.4	16.9	-1.43

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	56	57	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.48	17	-13	30	15.9	16.2	-0.29	15.4	12.6	2.87
Nicolas Batum	73	76	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.32	18	-14	32	15.2	19.2	-4.09	14.5	13.3	1.16
Cody Zeller	50	50	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.46	12	-8	20	14.6	17.7	-3.13	15.2	13.3	1.86
Kemba Walker	80	80	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.32	14	-10	24	16.1	15.6	0.58	14.7	12.2	2.43
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	58	57	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	-6	16	15.7	16.6	-0.84	15.0	13.2	1.79
Marco Belinelli	62	66	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.19	-7	11	-18	17.6	13.2	4.41	13.4	16.1	-2.66
Ramon Sessions	14	16	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.07	-10	14	-24	15.6	16.1	-0.58	12.2	14.7	-2.43
Roy Hibbert	19	20	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.06	-10	14	-24	15.5	16.2	-0.74	12.2	14.8	-2.62
Frank Kaminsky	37	38	-0.30	0.81	-1.11	-0.01	-10	14	-24	16.5	15.8	0.74	12.8	15.2	-2.45
Jeremy Lamb	21	20	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	0.06	-14	18	-32	19.2	15.2	4.09	13.3	14.5	-1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.52,0.34,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.36,0.53,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 92, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.35,0.22,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.58,1	89.5%
SEA 87, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.11,0.28,0.57,0.58,1	88.6%
CHA 77, IND 82	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.28,0.42,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.43,0.42,1	88.6%