NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	77		Excitement	8.0 [281]		MVP	Fred Jones (IND): +23.2%
Indiana Pacers	82		Comeback	13.8 [124]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): -30.4%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.02	5	55%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	15	59%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jamal Sampson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.07	-0.01	4	40%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kapono	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	8	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Melvin Ely	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	1	33%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Keith Bogans	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	12	38%	-0.06	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Hart	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.1,-0.21	-0.07	-0.15	-0.01	12	37%	-0.20	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.30	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3	-0.18	-0.14	-0.01	10	27%	-0.10	5	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.23	0.23	0.03	0.20	-0.01	16	62%	0.31	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.08
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	4	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	12	70%	0.15	5	-0.20	9	100%	0.06
Britton Johnsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29,-0.29,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	0.04	0.00	12	43%	-0.03	3	-0.08	13	62%	-0.04
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.10	-0.00	6	23%	-0.10	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
James Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.09	-0.19	-0.00	10	25%	-0.11	1	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	2.0	28.0	15.5	25.4	2.6	40.0	142.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +24.9%

IND +42.0%

CHA -2.1%

CHA -16.0%

IND +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	15.6	16.4	15.5	84.6	92.1	104.0
season	15.5	16.8		99.0	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		101.6	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.0	17.0	14.1	16.2	15.6
IND	15.7	17.2	18.6	14.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	40	39	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.12	2	-7	9	14.3	16.5	-2.25	15.7	17.1	-1.39
Jason Kapono	32	32	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.08	7	-12	19	14.6	16.1	-1.49	17.0	16.2	0.81
Jamal Sampson	16	15	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.06	1	-6	7	13.7	16.0	-2.27	18.9	16.0	2.91
Eddie House	24	22	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-5	5	13.1	16.4	-3.31	13.3	17.5	-4.16
Brevin Knight	49	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-3	1	14.2	17.2	-2.98	17.9	14.6	3.22
Primoz Brezec	42	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.35	-1	-4	3	17.6	13.8	3.87	16.8	16.1	0.71
Jason Hart	61	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.40	-3	-2	-1	16.2	14.2	2.03	16.2	16.9	-0.75
Keith Bogans	51	49	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	5	-15	16.7	14.1	2.56	16.4	16.5	-0.09
Emeka Okafor	81	80	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.39	-7	2	-9	15.8	13.5	2.31	16.4	17.1	-0.74
Gerald Wallace	59	57	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.27	-12	7	-19	16.1	14.6	1.49	16.2	17.0	-0.81

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Gill	38	39	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.54	9	-4	13	15.2	17.4	-2.21	14.0	16.7	-2.78
James Jones	65	66	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.44	7	-2	9	17.1	14.7	2.33	16.2	13.8	2.48
Jamaal Tinsley	73	76	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.35	9	-4	13	15.8	19.5	-3.72	15.9	13.8	2.11
Austin Croshere	69	73	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-6	17	16.5	16.3	0.13	15.4	16.3	-0.89
Fred Jones	85	88	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.32	7	-2	9	16.8	8.0	8.85	15.7	11.3	4.37
Scot Pollard	26	26	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.06	3	2	1	17.0	16.2	0.72	17.5	14.8	2.72
Tremaine Fowlkes	12	11	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	13	-21	15.9	16.5	-0.62	14.3	15.7	-1.46
Britton Johnsen	26	25	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.05	-5	10	-15	16.8	16.3	0.56	13.9	16.2	-2.26
David Harrison	51	51	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.13	-8	13	-21	16.5	16.4	0.14	15.5	15.7	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.28,0.42,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 106, GSW 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.32,0.58,1	93.1%
SEA 87, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.11,0.28,0.57,0.58,1	91.1%
SAC 94, MEM 98	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.11,0.11,0.29,0.82,1	90.4%