NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	9.9 [59]		MVP	Baron Davis (GSW): +25.2%
Golden State Warriors	108		Comeback	16.9 [109]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -36.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.04	0.00	10	81%	0.18	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	7	71%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	3	86%	0.10	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.04
Ronny Turiaf	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	31%	0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.10
Trevor Ariza	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	2	83%	0.03	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	7	41%	0.03	4	-0.16	8	87%	0.02
Lamar Odom	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	20	42%	-0.04	3	-0.14	3	33%	-0.07
Kobe Bryant	-0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.25,-0.25,-0.23,-0.34,-0.36	-0.20	-0.16	0.00	23	37%	-0.24	5	-0.12	11	82%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.25	0.25	0.08	0.17	-0.01	15	61%	0.34	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.12	0.00	8	62%	0.19	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.05	0.01	19	49%	0.11	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	18%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.09	-0.16	0.00	15	65%	0.15	2	-0.22	4	75%	-0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	17	50%	-0.02	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	3.5	33.4	19.5	29.5	2.8	38.2	154.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +69.3%

LAL -14.5%

GSW +1.4%

GSW +0.4%

LAL -6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.6	13.4	15.4	106.0	101.9	105.7
season	14.6	13.5		110.6	109.8
opponent	15.1	15.2		107.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.0	15.0	12.8	16.7	14.6
GSW	13.2	17.0	12.1	12.1	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Farmar	30	32	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.08	2	-4	6	15.4	14.2	1.15	15.5	12.6	2.91
Ronny Turiaf	25	25	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.10	-1	-1	0	16.1	14.1	2.03	16.5	12.5	4.04
Sasha Vujacic	23	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	1	-4	16.0	14.1	1.87	16.3	12.7	3.58
Kobe Bryant	78	83	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-3	4	14.2	16.0	-1.85	12.7	16.3	-3.61
Vladimir Radmanovic	24	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	4	-10	16.2	14.0	2.17	16.1	12.6	3.46
Lamar Odom	96	101	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.41	6	-8	14	14.4	18.5	-4.10	13.3	15.6	-2.27
Trevor Ariza	7	10	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.46	-2	0	-2	13.7	14.6	-0.91	13.2	13.5	-0.26
Luke Walton	72	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.48	-2	0	-2	14.3	15.2	-0.96	12.8	15.2	-2.39
Andrew Bynum	75	81	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.54	-1	-1	0	14.1	16.1	-2.03	12.5	16.5	-4.04
Derek Fisher	70	74	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.52	-4	2	-6	14.2	15.4	-1.15	12.6	15.5	-2.91

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	76	72	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.56	6	-4	10	13.5	13.3	0.23	14.6	14.5	0.13
Andris Biedrins	70	67	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.45	9	-7	16	12.5	15.2	-2.67	14.5	14.7	-0.20
Al Harrington	82	77	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.35	10	-8	18	13.6	13.0	0.56	14.5	14.9	-0.46
Stephen Jackson	97	93	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.50	0	2	-2	13.1	16.7	-3.53	14.5	14.9	-0.32
Monta Ellis	95	88	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.45	-1	3	-4	12.9	17.9	-4.99	14.4	15.9	-1.54
Austin Croshere	10	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	1	0	14.1	13.4	0.74	17.3	14.2	3.05
Matt Barnes	33	32	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.08	0	2	-2	14.9	12.8	2.19	15.4	14.2	1.24
DJ Mbenga	17	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	6	-10	13.2	13.5	-0.31	13.8	14.7	-0.90
Kelenna Azubuike	29	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	5	-8	15.8	12.5	3.25	13.9	14.8	-0.91
Mickael Pietrus	21	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.08	-8	10	-18	13.7	13.4	0.35	14.5	14.6	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.32,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 77, IND 82	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.28,0.42,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.43,0.42,1	93.1%
CHI 103, ORL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.29,0.24,0.73,1	91.6%
TOR 109, MIN 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.37,1	91.2%