NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	100		Excitement	6.7 [512]		MVP	Rodney Hood (UTA): +35.0%
Utah Jazz	103		Comeback	1.6 [862]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): -30.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Anderson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	6	59%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	0.01	22	48%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
AJ Hammons	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Seth Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.06	0.00	11	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	11	54%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11	0.08	-0.17	0.03	11	67%	-0.08	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.35	0.35	0.02	0.33	-0.00	11	62%	0.45	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	-0.00	8	81%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	6	79%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	70%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	61%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	7	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.3	-0.30	-0.11	-0.20	-0.01	11	52%	-0.11	7	-0.19	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.7	35.9	15.8	29.4	3.6	33.9	148.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +60.0%

DAL -2.6%

UTA +15.1%

DAL -22.8%

UTA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	17.1	16.0	14.8	114.9	118.4	107.7
season	16.2	16.1		104.4	108.0
opponent	15.0	14.7		105.0	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	18.2	14.9	17.3	18.4	17.1
UTA	17.8	15.1	17.0	14.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
AJ Hammons	5	5	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.01	1	-4	5	19.0	17.0	1.99	18.0	15.9	2.15
Justin Anderson	33	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-7	11	17.1	17.1	-0.06	14.4	17.0	-2.60
Seth Curry	51	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.32	6	-9	15	17.2	17.1	0.07	16.9	14.9	1.90
Salah Mejri	39	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.26	4	-7	11	17.4	16.9	0.51	15.9	16.0	-0.05
Harrison Barnes	69	69	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.43	6	-9	15	16.7	18.9	-2.22	15.4	18.1	-2.62
Dorian Finney-Smith	42	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	7	-17	17.3	17.0	0.31	17.5	14.5	2.94
Devin Harris	29	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	3	-9	18.4	16.5	1.98	16.4	15.8	0.59
Deron Williams	64	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.36	1	-4	5	16.9	17.7	-0.77	15.2	18.3	-3.11
Dwight Powell	43	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	5	-13	16.7	17.6	-0.94	15.8	16.2	-0.41
Wesley Matthews	60	60	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.21	-13	10	-23	17.1	17.1	-0.03	16.4	15.1	1.26

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	59	61	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.27	8	-5	13	16.7	14.4	2.28	17.9	15.4	2.48
Shelvin Mack	52	52	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.68	-6	9	-15	16.2	15.7	0.54	16.5	18.0	-1.51
Gordon Hayward	63	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	0	3	16.1	15.7	0.43	16.9	17.8	-0.93
Rodney Hood	55	55	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.24	1	2	-1	16.7	14.8	1.84	17.5	16.5	1.04
Dante Exum	34	34	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	-8	19	15.5	16.3	-0.83	18.1	16.5	1.53
Boris Diaw	33	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.01	8	-5	13	15.4	16.3	-0.94	17.5	16.9	0.63
Trey Lyles	32	30	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	-1	5	17.7	15.0	2.66	16.9	17.3	-0.40
Joe Johnson	39	39	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.42	-7	10	-17	15.4	16.5	-1.12	17.1	17.2	-0.09
Derrick Favors	28	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	8	-13	14.4	16.7	-2.28	15.4	17.9	-2.48
Joe Ingles	40	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	5	-7	14.7	17.0	-2.27	16.9	17.3	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 92, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.84,1	94.5%
SAS 91, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,1	93.1%
HOU 100, DAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.91,0.87,1	92.6%