NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	6.6 [489]		MVP	Nikola Mirotic (CHI): +16.7%
Chicago Bulls	97		Comeback	1.4 [696]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -17.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	10	80%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	79%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Marcin Gortat	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	42%	-0.02	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Kevin Seraphin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	18	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
John Wall	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	20	45%	-0.03	6	-0.15	7	57%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.01	13	62%	0.22	2	-0.06	11	73%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	11	77%	0.16	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.11	5	-0.13	10	60%	-0.05
Tony Snell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	12	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	23	44%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.7	29.4	16.3	23.5	2.6	40.2	138.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +28.0%

CHI +4.6%

CHI +28.9%

WAS -15.0%

CHI +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	16.1	15.1	97.9	103.2	104.2
season	15.1	15.5		102.9	105.4
opponent	15.2	15.3		102.5	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.6	16.5	16.1	13.3	14.5
CHI	15.5	17.0	16.6	15.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	25	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.05	1	-6	7	15.2	14.3	0.87	13.4	17.0	-3.61
Garrett Temple	12	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-2	-1	13.7	14.6	-0.88	13.0	16.6	-3.62
Kevin Seraphin	29	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-8	11	16.1	13.8	2.29	16.1	16.1	0.03
Rasual Butler	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-3	1	12.4	14.7	-2.26	11.3	16.5	-5.22
Ramon Sessions	31	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	0	-5	16.7	13.5	3.22	14.7	16.7	-1.95
Paul Pierce	59	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-7	9	14.1	15.2	-1.13	17.6	13.3	4.34
Otto Porter	61	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-4	3	14.9	13.9	0.94	14.9	18.1	-3.23
John Wall	74	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-5	5	13.8	17.1	-3.28	16.1	16.1	0.07
Nene	38	39	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	6	-17	14.5	14.5	0.01	17.2	15.3	1.90
Bradley Beal	68	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-3	1	14.4	14.9	-0.56	17.2	13.2	4.03
Marcin Gortat	66	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.24	-7	2	-9	13.9	15.9	-1.95	16.6	14.9	1.72

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	68	66	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.17	16	-11	27	16.8	14.3	2.45	14.7	14.0	0.74
Joakim Noah	67	68	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.23	10	-5	15	16.2	16.0	0.16	14.1	15.7	-1.62
Nikola Mirotic	61	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	3	-1	15.5	17.3	-1.83	15.0	13.6	1.45
Tony Snell	81	80	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.35	-1	6	-7	15.8	18.3	-2.54	13.9	18.1	-4.26
Mike Dunleavy	61	60	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	2	1	17.0	14.4	2.61	14.5	14.5	-0.01
Pau Gasol	64	62	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	5	-5	16.7	14.9	1.74	14.1	15.3	-1.25
E'Twaun Moore	13	15	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	0	5	16.5	16.0	0.49	17.1	14.0	3.03
Doug McDermott	30	31	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	7	-9	14.6	16.8	-2.23	15.2	14.2	0.95
Kirk Hinrich	25	26	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.12	-8	13	-21	14.8	16.6	-1.79	14.7	14.5	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 100, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.73,1	94.5%
UTA 87, DEN 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.9,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.9,1,1,1,1	94.3%
CHA 98, BOS 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.44,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.77,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.97,1	94.1%