NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	98		Excitement	5.9 [656]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): +27.1%
Boston Celtics	108		Comeback	1.2 [984]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (CHA): -19.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.20	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.04	-0.01	14	70%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.03	7	72%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Ramon Sessions	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Frank Kaminsky	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	21	51%	0.06	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	11	27%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.19	-0.14	-0.07	-0.02	11	30%	-0.08	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.18	0.10	0.02	25	70%	0.34	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	0.00	9	75%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.01	14	67%	0.16	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.02	11	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	9	28%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	25.1	15.4	24.5	1.7	31.2	121.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +55.0%

CHA -11.1%

CHA -0.1%

BOS +4.6%

BOS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BOS	NBA	CHA	BOS	NBA
this game	14.8	16.3	14.8	105.4	117.4	107.7
season	15.1	14.7		107.9	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.8		108.3	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.2	14.0	16.1	15.0	14.8
BOS	15.8	16.0	19.1	15.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	35	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-12	14	14.1	15.2	-1.05	15.9	16.6	-0.74
Ramon Sessions	34	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-12	14	13.9	15.3	-1.39	16.3	16.4	-0.02
Marvin Williams	56	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-10	10	15.2	14.2	1.05	16.7	15.8	0.87
Marco Belinelli	34	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-10	10	13.9	15.3	-1.44	16.9	16.0	0.87
Nicolas Batum	73	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-3	-4	15.1	13.7	1.40	16.1	17.2	-1.09
Frank Kaminsky	37	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.12	-10	0	-10	14.2	15.2	-1.05	15.8	16.7	-0.87
Cody Zeller	58	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	2	-14	15.2	14.1	1.05	16.6	15.9	0.74
Kemba Walker	72	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	1	-12	15.0	14.1	0.84	16.2	16.8	-0.58
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	66	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.08	-14	4	-18	15.2	13.9	1.33	16.5	16.1	0.40

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	63	63	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	-3	16	16.3	16.3	0.00	15.3	13.8	1.52
Avery Bradley	63	62	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.07	12	-2	14	16.6	15.9	0.71	15.0	14.4	0.61
Jae Crowder	55	56	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.00	13	-3	16	16.6	15.9	0.67	15.0	14.4	0.60
Isaiah Thomas	59	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	-4	18	16.2	16.7	-0.54	15.5	13.5	2.00
Marcus Smart	55	54	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	9	-8	16.0	16.8	-0.82	14.0	15.8	-1.81
Kelly Olynyk	50	50	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.25	0	10	-10	17.1	15.4	1.69	14.4	15.2	-0.81
Amir Johnson	41	41	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	4	2	15.8	16.8	-1.02	15.6	14.2	1.37
Jaylen Brown	39	41	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	14	-18	16.0	16.6	-0.60	14.1	15.4	-1.29
Jonas Jerebko	29	31	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.13	-3	13	-16	16.3	16.3	-0.00	13.6	15.4	-1.77
Gerald Green	6	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	12	-14	16.2	16.4	-0.19	14.1	14.9	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.44,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.77,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 92, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.84,1	94.1%
WAS 84, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	94.1%
SAC 106, GSW 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.83,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.95,1	93.9%