NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	85		Excitement	3.9 [1021]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +13.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	93		Comeback	1.0 [1152]		LVP	JR Smith (CLE): -12.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	6	65%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
James Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.00	0.07	8	79%	0.04	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Andersen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	5	42%	-0.01	5	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre Liggins	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	48%	0.02	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Jordan McRae	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	9	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kay Felder	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.00	0.10	8	64%	-0.05	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
JR Smith	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	15	26%	-0.11	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	9	85%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	13	71%	0.11	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	10	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Wade Baldwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0	0%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	11	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Troy Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	17	41%	-0.05	2	-0.02	5	40%	-0.05
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	30.4	15.6	26.8	1.6	29.2	130.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +49.5%

CLE -3.6%

MEM +11.3%

CLE -9.3%

MEM +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MEM	NBA	CLE	MEM	NBA
this game	15.0	15.8	14.8	90.4	100.0	107.7
season	14.9	16.1		113.5	106.4
opponent	14.9	14.7		106.7	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.5	16.7	16.6	10.8	15.0
MEM	15.6	16.0	15.4	16.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	43	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-9	10	16.4	13.7	2.65	16.0	15.7	0.23
Richard Jefferson	19	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-4	0	13.2	15.4	-2.26	16.9	15.6	1.31
Chris Andersen	42	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.30	4	-12	16	12.2	17.2	-5.00	16.1	15.6	0.54
DeAndre Liggins	47	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-3	-2	16.9	13.0	3.87	15.8	15.9	-0.10
James Jones	51	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-7	6	13.9	16.2	-2.35	15.6	16.1	-0.49
Channing Frye	43	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-1	-6	16.2	13.9	2.35	16.1	15.6	0.49
Iman Shumpert	46	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-5	2	12.9	16.9	-4.05	15.9	15.8	0.18
Kay Felder	47	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-5	2	13.0	16.9	-3.87	15.9	15.8	0.10
JR Smith	45	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	1	-10	18.2	12.0	6.14	15.6	16.1	-0.50
Jordan McRae	35	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-7	6	12.8	16.3	-3.48	15.3	16.2	-0.81
Tristan Thompson	52	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	4	-16	17.2	12.2	5.00	15.6	16.1	-0.54

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toney Douglas	55	55	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.02	20	-12	32	15.7	16.1	-0.34	15.3	14.5	0.76
Vince Carter	34	35	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.07	21	-13	34	17.0	15.2	1.77	15.0	14.9	0.11
Marc Gasol	52	54	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	-5	18	15.6	16.1	-0.49	16.6	12.7	3.97
Jarell Martin	46	46	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.28	1	7	-6	15.8	15.9	-0.00	13.8	16.1	-2.30
Troy Daniels	47	46	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	5	-2	16.0	15.7	0.26	12.2	17.6	-5.49
Tony Allen	61	62	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	3	2	15.8	16.0	-0.28	16.5	12.0	4.48
JaMychal Green	47	48	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	1	6	15.9	15.8	0.00	16.1	13.8	2.30
Zach Randolph	41	40	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.27	-5	13	-18	16.1	15.6	0.49	12.7	16.6	-3.97
Wade Baldwin	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	18	-28	14.2	16.0	-1.75	7.5	15.7	-8.15
Troy Williams	36	37	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	11	-14	15.1	16.3	-1.16	17.4	13.4	4.08
Andrew Harrison	38	39	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.29	-12	20	-32	16.1	15.7	0.34	14.5	15.3	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 91, WAS 120	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.73,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
UTA 70, POR 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
ATL 101, NOH 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%