NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	101		Excitement	4.6 [888]		MVP	Jannero Pargo (NOH): +14.1%
New Orleans Hornets	116		Comeback	1.2 [1138]		LVP	Al Horford (ATL): -7.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	14	64%	0.11	5	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Mario West	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Childress	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.03
Joe Johnson	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.02	0.06	20	59%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Salim Stoudamire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	58%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	44%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.02	-0.02	18	59%	0.14	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	0.01	0.07	19	72%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.01	0.04	16	68%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	11	59%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	15	44%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	30.1	15.8	25.2	1.6	39.2	135.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +30.2%

ATL -0.5%

NOH +7.1%

NOH +11.6%

NOH +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NOH	NBA	ATL	NOH	NBA
this game	15.3	16.9	15.4	113.5	128.9	105.7
season	15.4	15.9		104.2	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.7		104.0	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	15.8	15.7	14.3	15.3
NOH	18.3	16.2	16.3	17.0	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Jones	6	6	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-19	23	9.8	15.7	-5.83	14.5	17.1	-2.57
Mario West	5	6	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-14	13	9.0	15.6	-6.64	16.3	16.9	-0.61
Jeremy Richardson	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	13.7	15.3	-1.66	13.3	17.0	-3.69
Zaza Pachulia	10	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	-7	-1	17.3	15.0	2.29	13.3	17.3	-3.96
Salim Stoudamire	26	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-8	1	16.1	14.9	1.14	15.3	17.5	-2.24
Josh Smith	56	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-8	1	15.4	15.0	0.43	16.4	17.9	-1.48
Marvin Williams	71	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-8	1	15.0	16.4	-1.40	17.0	16.6	0.31
Mike Bibby	71	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	-7	-1	14.7	17.3	-2.59	17.5	14.5	3.08
Al Horford	73	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	-4	-7	15.4	14.5	0.94	17.5	13.8	3.72
Josh Childress	50	48	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.01	-16	1	-17	16.1	14.3	1.80	16.6	17.2	-0.54
Joe Johnson	74	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	-2	-11	15.6	13.7	1.93	17.5	13.8	3.72

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jannero Pargo	55	55	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.01	17	-2	19	16.8	17.1	-0.26	15.2	15.4	-0.13
Chris Paul	71	70	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.01	17	-2	19	17.3	15.5	1.74	14.7	17.3	-2.60
Peja Stojakovic	74	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	-1	17	17.0	16.2	0.79	14.7	17.9	-3.18
Tyson Chandler	76	73	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	7	1	17.2	15.2	2.00	14.6	18.2	-3.56
Ryan Bowen	66	64	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	12	-9	16.8	17.3	-0.53	15.9	13.6	2.27
Julian Wright	40	41	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	4	7	16.9	16.9	-0.05	15.3	15.2	0.04
Melvin Ely	14	16	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	8	-1	15.2	17.2	-2.00	18.2	14.6	3.56
Mike James	19	19	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	17	-19	15.5	17.3	-1.74	17.3	14.7	2.60
Morris Peterson	35	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	17	-19	17.1	16.8	0.26	15.4	15.2	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, CHI 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.73,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.96,1,1,1	96.0%
WAS 98, ORL 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
MEM 95, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1	95.3%