NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	4.6 [886]		MVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): +8.7%
Chicago Bulls	116		Comeback	1.2 [230]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -8.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.02	0.03	17	64%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	26	55%	0.06	3	-0.04	13	69%	-0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	64%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	11	41%	-0.08	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	18	69%	0.16	5	-0.08	3	100%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	11	52%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	13	62%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	-0.00	0.06	16	71%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jay Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	6	92%	0.06	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	56%	0.01	2	-0.01	8	62%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.6	29.4	16.4	27.5	2.5	31.4	130.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +52.7%

CHI +6.8%

CHI +0.2%

LAL -9.1%

LAL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHI	NBA	LAL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	15.9	15.5	104.2	123.4	101.6
season	15.4	15.0		105.0	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.1		103.3	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.4	14.9	16.5	11.9	14.6
CHI	13.4	14.5	18.7	17.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Slava Medvedenko	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-14	11	5.5	14.8	-9.31	11.5	16.0	-4.47
Jannero Pargo	13	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-14	11	14.3	14.7	-0.35	16.8	15.7	1.07
Kareem Rush	20	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-16	15	16.0	14.2	1.82	16.3	15.8	0.49
Samaki Walker	19	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.03	-5	-12	7	16.4	14.2	2.26	17.8	15.4	2.36
Mark Madsen	47	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-5	-7	15.2	14.0	1.15	14.8	16.9	-2.05
Devean George	29	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	-5	-7	15.0	14.4	0.61	17.0	15.4	1.61
Rick Fox	67	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-10	3	14.4	15.1	-0.65	15.1	18.0	-2.94
Robert Horry	48	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-12	7	14.0	15.2	-1.15	16.9	14.8	2.05
Shaquille O'Neal	73	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-10	3	14.4	15.3	-0.92	15.8	16.0	-0.11
Derek Fisher	71	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-9	1	14.1	16.2	-2.08	15.6	16.7	-1.18
Kobe Bryant	86	85	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.09	-22	5	-27	14.8	13.2	1.53	15.9	15.8	0.10

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	74	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.11	20	-3	23	15.1	18.5	-3.40	14.8	13.6	1.23
Donyell Marshall	75	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	-1	19	15.5	17.3	-1.81	14.2	16.2	-1.99
Tyson Chandler	84	84	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.02	15	2	13	16.2	12.9	3.33	14.2	17.6	-3.42
Jamal Crawford	64	64	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.12	15	2	13	15.7	16.2	-0.48	14.0	15.9	-1.97
Eddy Curry	52	53	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	8	1	15.9	15.8	0.07	14.8	14.4	0.37
Corie Blount	42	42	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	9	-1	15.8	15.9	-0.07	14.4	14.8	-0.37
Jay Williams	30	31	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	15	-13	16.2	15.7	0.48	15.9	14.0	1.97
Lonny Baxter	10	11	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	15	-13	12.9	16.2	-3.33	17.6	14.2	3.42
Trenton Hassell	22	21	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	18	-19	18.0	15.2	2.72	15.6	14.3	1.23
Fred Hoiberg	17	15	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	20	-23	17.9	15.4	2.53	14.0	14.7	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.73,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 101, NOH 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
PHI 88, LAL 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DET 93, TOR 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%