NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	70		Excitement	3.7 [1054]		MVP	Darius Miles (POR): +11.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	91		Comeback	1.4 [961]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -18.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarron Collins	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	17	52%	0.03	4	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Raul Lopez	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	-0.06	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.05	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Carlos Arroyo	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.21	-0.03	-0.06	19	22%	-0.18	0	0.00	8	75%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.02	10	83%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	9	65%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	30%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Gill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omar Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	17	59%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	4	43%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	64%	-0.00	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.6	27.2	14.8	27.2	1.8	29.1	126.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +46.6%

POR +10.1%

UTA -7.4%

UTA -0.9%

POR +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	17.5	17.0	15.7	84.3	108.3	100.5
season	17.2	17.1		99.4	101.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		103.2	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	20.0	17.7	16.0	16.0	17.5
POR	14.2	18.3	18.2	17.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	20	21	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-22	23	17.4	17.5	-0.08	16.2	17.3	-1.13
Raul Lopez	41	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-19	17	16.9	18.0	-1.19	17.8	16.2	1.60
Sasha Pavlovic	19	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.11	-7	-14	7	20.5	16.6	3.91	15.7	17.5	-1.75
Greg Ostertag	48	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	-11	1	16.7	18.5	-1.83	17.2	16.8	0.40
Raja Bell	56	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-16	11	16.5	19.4	-2.89	18.4	14.1	4.31
Tom Gugliotta	25	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-11	1	19.4	16.6	2.84	17.3	16.9	0.34
Michael Ruffin	23	22	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	-11	1	15.7	18.1	-2.38	17.2	17.0	0.26
Jarron Collins	35	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	-10	-1	18.5	16.7	1.83	16.8	17.2	-0.40
Mo Williams	42	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	-8	-5	15.6	19.3	-3.72	16.0	18.0	-1.98
Andrei Kirilenko	64	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.17	-19	-2	-17	18.5	14.1	4.35	17.0	17.2	-0.23
Carlos Arroyo	42	42	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	-2	-17	18.0	16.9	1.19	16.2	17.8	-1.60

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	64	65	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.06	21	0	21	17.4	15.8	1.56	17.6	16.8	0.87
Zach Randolph	56	56	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.27	27	-6	33	16.6	18.0	-1.45	18.3	15.8	2.49
Damon Stoudamire	57	57	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.03	17	4	13	17.7	15.7	1.96	17.5	17.3	0.22
Darius Miles	58	56	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	10	1	17.7	15.6	2.06	18.4	15.6	2.76
Theo Ratliff	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.30	20	1	19	16.5	17.7	-1.23	18.9	15.8	3.13
Dale Davis	37	36	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	17	-13	17.5	16.7	0.85	15.9	18.6	-2.67
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	34	34	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.06	4	17	-13	17.7	16.6	1.13	16.2	18.3	-2.07
Dan Dickau	27	26	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.09	4	17	-13	15.7	17.7	-1.96	17.3	17.5	-0.22
Ruben Patterson	28	26	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.13	5	16	-11	15.8	17.6	-1.82	16.6	17.9	-1.28
Eddie Gill	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	24	-27	21.0	16.9	4.06	12.5	17.6	-5.08
Omar Cook	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	24	-27	15.2	17.2	-2.01	13.8	17.7	-3.91
Qyntel Woods	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	15.2	17.2	-2.01	13.8	17.7	-3.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 85, MEM 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DET 88, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
LAL 93, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.9%