NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	93		Excitement	4.7 [853]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +6.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	103		Comeback	1.3 [789]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -19.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Shaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	6	86%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Rick Fox	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.02	0.10	24	61%	0.06	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Glen Rice	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	11	55%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ron Harper	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	41%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Robert Horry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.25,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.17	-0.03	-0.00	17	39%	-0.14	3	-0.06	10	30%	-0.09

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	64%	0.08	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	18	63%	0.09	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.01	0.06	13	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	13	52%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	6	41%	-0.04	1	-0.03	10	70%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	10	42%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	3.0	32.1	20.7	32.1	2.7	43.2	159.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +23.0%

POR +18.6%

LAL -1.4%

POR +7.9%

POR +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	16.2	16.7	15.2	104.5	119.8	101.7
season	15.3	15.9		105.6	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.1		99.1	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	19.3	14.8	18.4	12.9	16.2
POR	15.8	18.8	14.3	17.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salley	8	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-11	12	15.6	16.3	-0.67	15.7	16.8	-1.06
Derek Fisher	9	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-9	8	15.3	16.3	-1.00	21.0	16.3	4.70
Rick Fox	33	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.14	1	-11	12	12.9	18.2	-5.24	19.0	15.4	3.57
A.C. Green	31	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-5	0	20.2	14.1	6.12	14.7	17.6	-2.87
Brian Shaw	32	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-9	8	12.9	18.1	-5.15	16.6	16.7	-0.06
Ron Harper	48	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-2	-6	18.6	13.5	5.14	16.1	17.4	-1.36
Robert Horry	48	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-4	-2	14.2	18.6	-4.40	17.7	15.2	2.52
Glen Rice	58	56	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	1	-12	17.7	13.4	4.32	15.6	18.8	-3.20
Shaquille O'Neal	89	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	16.2	0.0	16.24	16.7	0.0	16.69
Kobe Bryant	89	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	16.2	0.0	16.24	16.7	0.0	16.69

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	81	84	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.17	12	-2	14	16.6	18.2	-1.61	16.3	14.6	1.73
Steven Smith	72	74	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-3	16	16.5	17.5	-0.97	16.8	13.3	3.49
Scottie Pippen	85	88	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	0	10	16.7	19.0	-2.34	16.1	27.0	-10.89
Damon Stoudamire	51	53	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	-1	12	16.6	16.8	-0.19	18.6	12.8	5.81
Rasheed Wallace	70	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.16	6	4	2	16.1	19.3	-3.23	16.6	14.7	1.90
Bonzi Wells	35	37	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	9	-8	16.8	16.6	0.19	13.0	18.5	-5.54
Brian Grant	25	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	13	-16	19.0	15.7	3.32	14.5	17.0	-2.52
Detlef Schrempf	11	11	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	10	-10	17.1	16.6	0.46	13.9	16.6	-2.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 82, PHX 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
PHX 88, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
UTA 70, POR 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%