NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	82		Excitement	4.9 [849]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +31.4%
Phoenix Suns	103		Comeback	1.2 [1112]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -24.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	7	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	13	46%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	8	65%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	4	87%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	14	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	0.03	-0.01	9	37%	-0.03	5	-0.09	9	89%	0.08
Tracy McGrady	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.16,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.19	-0.08	-0.02	28	31%	-0.18	3	-0.07	5	40%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.25	0.07	0.01	18	82%	0.33	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	7	79%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	13	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	0.07	12	58%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	15	40%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	25.6	15.4	26.5	2.5	24.3	122.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +47.2%

HOU -7.2%

PHX +8.8%

HOU -0.8%

PHX +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	16.8	15.5	15.4	91.1	117.0	104.5
season	15.6	13.8		103.6	112.2
opponent	16.0	15.7		105.0	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.8	18.5	17.4	16.0	16.8
PHX	13.6	17.5	15.3	16.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Lucas III	9	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-22	23	18.4	16.6	1.80	18.7	15.2	3.50
Charles Hayes	61	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.19	-11	-10	-1	16.2	18.1	-1.94	14.9	16.6	-1.68
Dikembe Mutombo	5	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-15	9	16.2	16.9	-0.66	15.5	15.5	-0.02
Yao Ming	56	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-16	11	17.7	15.4	2.36	15.2	16.2	-0.99
Shane Battier	69	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.08	-14	-7	-7	17.2	15.5	1.69	15.5	15.7	-0.23
Rafer Alston	71	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	-6	-9	16.6	17.7	-1.16	15.3	16.3	-1.01
Luther Head	59	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.13	-18	-3	-15	16.5	17.4	-0.81	16.5	13.6	2.92
Tracy McGrady	75	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.19	-20	-1	-19	16.2	20.1	-3.89	15.2	17.3	-2.18
Juwan Howard	45	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.06	-17	-4	-13	17.5	16.1	1.42	15.8	15.2	0.64

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	64	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.14	20	1	19	15.5	15.6	-0.14	16.7	17.2	-0.52
Boris Diaw	68	70	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.16	20	1	19	15.5	15.5	-0.04	17.1	15.7	1.38
Kurt Thomas	31	31	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	9	3	15.4	15.6	-0.26	17.0	16.7	0.22
Shawn Marion	65	66	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.10	13	8	5	15.7	15.0	0.65	16.7	17.2	-0.58
James Jones	30	31	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.22	17	4	13	16.0	15.3	0.67	16.0	17.3	-1.30
Amar'e Stoudemire	55	57	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	12	-3	14.9	16.5	-1.54	17.0	16.5	0.44
Raja Bell	54	55	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	19	-17	15.6	15.3	0.32	16.9	16.7	0.27
Eric Piatkowski	11	12	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.09	7	14	-7	14.2	15.7	-1.53	18.1	16.6	1.46
Steve Nash	62	63	0.10	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	16	-11	15.9	14.6	1.29	16.7	17.2	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 93, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.5%
IND 94, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
DET 79, MIN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.65,0.77,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%