inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 91 Excitement4.0 [1013] MVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): +10.5%
Washington Wizards 120 Comeback1.1 [926] LVPAndre Miller (DEN): -14.9%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0.060,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.14-0.030.062762%0.102-0.04683%0.00
Reggie Evans0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.01-0.01763%0.052-0.03540%-0.03
Earl Boykins0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.00-0.00-0.01955%0.052-0.042100%0.00
Marcus Camby0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.010.02786%0.073-0.0600%0.00
Jamal Sampson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DerMarr Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Linas Kleiza-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03433%-0.0010.001100%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Eduardo Najera-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nene-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.01350%0.023-0.072100%0.01
J.R. Smith-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.100.00-0.04517%-0.032-0.022100%0.01
Andre Miller-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.20-0.02-0.071427%-0.075-0.082100%0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.14-0.010.032163%0.173-0.061292%0.03
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.01575%0.091-0.01667%-0.01
Antawn Jamison0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.011563%0.103-0.0400%0.00
Caron Butler0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.08-0.010.042057%0.061-0.036100%0.03
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.010.04956%0.0100.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.00856%0.042-0.042100%0.01
James Lang00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Calvin Booth00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andray Blatche0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Donell Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03462%0.0000.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.01450%-0.032-0.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.01.830.215.828.22.728.3130.0
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +13.8%
WAS +14.9%
WAS +5.3%
WAS +17.2%
DEN -1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENWASNBADENWASNBA
this game14.115.115.492.9121.2104.5
season14.014.8105.8107.8
opponent15.315.3108.7104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.813.714.314.814.1
WAS14.417.014.514.615.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Sampson780.00-0.500.500.12-4-252113.614.2-0.6220.514.65.88
DerMarr Johnson780.00-0.500.500.12-4-252113.614.2-0.6220.514.65.88
Linas Kleiza1617-0.01-0.490.490.29-10-19915.114.01.1015.814.90.88
Earl Boykins4948-0.12-0.380.260.32-15-14-113.914.4-0.4915.514.70.83
Nene2626-0.13-0.370.230.04-6-231714.014.2-0.1413.015.8-2.78
Reggie Evans5253-0.17-0.330.160.15-11-18714.413.90.5214.815.4-0.52
Yakhouba Diawara4847-0.20-0.300.110.01-7-221514.513.80.7414.215.9-1.67
Eduardo Najera4242-0.26-0.24-0.020.18-15-14-113.614.6-1.0015.015.2-0.20
J.R. Smith4042-0.30-0.20-0.110.02-11-18713.914.3-0.4115.215.00.13
Marcus Camby5656-0.36-0.14-0.220.02-13-16313.914.4-0.5015.814.11.68
Carmelo Anthony8281-0.46-0.04-0.420.24-24-5-1914.014.6-0.5814.716.8-2.06
Andre Miller6567-0.49-0.01-0.480.25-25-4-2114.613.21.4014.815.7-0.97

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gilbert Arenas88880.58-0.080.66-0.3331-23314.420.5-6.1414.213.30.94
Caron Butler84840.450.050.40-0.312632314.916.3-1.4614.213.90.33
Brendan Haywood67670.390.110.28-0.262271515.015.4-0.4214.014.4-0.31
Antawn Jamison77760.370.130.23-0.191910914.417.4-2.9813.815.2-1.34
DeShawn Stevenson60600.290.210.080.02920-1115.614.41.2113.814.7-0.93
Jarvis Hayes38360.200.30-0.10-0.121118-715.914.61.2614.214.10.08
Antonio Daniels41400.180.32-0.14-0.402091115.215.00.1415.113.51.57
Calvin Booth10100.030.47-0.430.01128-2714.315.2-0.8816.013.92.07
Roger Mason Jr.660.010.49-0.490.04-130-3114.515.1-0.6310.814.4-3.53
James Lang12120.000.50-0.50-0.12425-2117.414.82.6514.714.10.69
Andray Blatche330.000.50-0.50-0.03128-2718.715.03.6913.014.2-1.18
Donell Taylor980.000.50-0.50-0.06227-2520.714.56.1313.714.2-0.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.73,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 85, MEM 930.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
CHI 90, WAS 1150.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
DAL 106, ORL 1110.5,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,195.2%