inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 105 Excitement5.0 [834] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +25.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers 116 Comeback1.1 [1165] LVPFrank Kaminsky (CHA): -12.0%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marco Belinelli0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.02-0.011168%0.121-0.0100%0.00
Kemba Walker0.080,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.140.000.061475%0.122-0.04475%-0.00
Jeremy Lamb0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.06-0.000.02759%0.0400.003100%0.01
Marvin Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.01-0.021341%0.0200.0010%-0.01
Roy Hibbert0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.010100%0.031-0.024100%0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Cody Zeller-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.04-0.020.07885%0.065-0.11475%-0.00
Ramon Sessions-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.01644%-0.041-0.02450%-0.02
Nicolas Batum-0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.00-0.021235%-0.033-0.06250%-0.01
Frank Kaminsky-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.13-0.01-0.021321%-0.101-0.02250%-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.240.040.032477%0.345-0.08956%-0.03
Iman Shumpert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.130.000.03889%0.121-0.022100%0.02
Kevin Love0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.020.031265%0.112-0.041080%0.01
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
JR Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.00650%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tristan Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.020.00581%0.083-0.08650%-0.03
Jordan McRae0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kyrie Irving0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.02-0.021341%0.033-0.071100%0.00
DeAndre Liggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.080.00-0.0210%-0.013-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.427.515.527.21.632.6132.0
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +42.9%
CLE +4.6%
CLE +8.2%
CHA -6.0%
CLE +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHACLENBACHACLENBA
this game14.914.814.8108.2119.6107.7
season15.114.9107.9113.5
opponent14.714.8109.6107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA13.816.515.514.014.9
CLE12.414.217.216.014.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cody Zeller46480.00-0.500.51-0.093-141713.616.1-2.4715.414.21.21
Marvin Williams6261-0.01-0.490.48-0.165-162114.615.3-0.6714.914.60.26
Kemba Walker5961-0.06-0.440.38-0.153-141714.615.3-0.6615.014.40.62
Jeremy Lamb2726-0.09-0.410.32-0.090-111116.014.51.4915.214.70.48
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist4747-0.16-0.340.17-0.10-2-9715.014.80.2214.714.9-0.12
Roy Hibbert2625-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.05-110-1115.514.60.8914.015.1-1.14
Nicolas Batum6667-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.08-10-1-914.316.2-1.9214.715.0-0.24
Marco Belinelli5757-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.08-110-1115.114.50.6215.114.30.77
Ramon Sessions3836-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.03-143-1715.314.60.6614.415.0-0.62
Frank Kaminsky5757-0.590.09-0.69-0.06-187-2515.813.62.1014.215.6-1.44

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Iman Shumpert63650.66-0.160.820.0222-113315.114.30.7415.314.11.14
Kevin Love71720.430.070.360.0513-21515.413.22.2514.615.7-1.07
Richard Jefferson36370.360.140.220.1574312.915.9-3.0515.414.60.80
Tristan Thompson56560.310.190.120.1074314.615.1-0.5114.914.80.10
DeAndre Liggins32330.300.200.10-0.1114-31713.115.6-2.5114.914.90.03
Kyrie Irving74740.250.250.010.23110-914.914.40.4814.915.0-0.09
LeBron James86840.170.33-0.160.20-112-1315.211.83.3714.914.60.31
JR Smith64620.050.45-0.400.17-415-1915.613.32.3214.615.4-0.80
Jordan McRae32-0.030.53-0.570.08-415-199.315.0-5.6510.015.0-4.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.79,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 88, NYK 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,194.6%
SAS 84, DEN 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.4%
CHH 115, NJN 1250.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.4%