NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	124		Excitement	7.7 [321]		MVP	Jabari Parker (MIL): +24.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	121		Comeback	2.3 [851]		LVP	Mirza Teletovic (MIL): -15.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.21	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.21	0.25	-0.02	0.02	17	73%	0.21	0	0.00	11	73%	-0.00
Klay Thompson	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.15	-0.00	0.01	17	72%	0.28	3	-0.15	6	100%	0.05
Andre Iguodala	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	8	62%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David West	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Patrick McCaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevon Looney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	21	43%	0.02	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Zaza Pachulia	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	7	29%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.12	-0.01	-0.09	0.02	7	56%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.11	0.00	18	67%	0.29	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.04	7	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	82%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	90%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	87%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	7	64%	0.10	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.15	-0.15	0.01	-0.16	-0.01	23	53%	-0.03	4	-0.11	11	82%	0.03
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	5	30%	-0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.0	32.1	15.8	33.2	2.3	38.4	150.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +5.6%

GSW +0.7%

GSW +31.2%

GSW +7.1%

GSW +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIL	NBA	GSW	MIL	NBA
this game	15.4	13.5	14.8	125.3	119.8	107.7
season	13.5	14.9		114.9	107.4
opponent	15.3	15.1		107.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.3	14.4	12.7	19.8	15.4
MIL	12.5	15.6	13.5	12.4	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	79	81	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.31	21	-18	39	15.2	16.0	-0.81	14.1	10.8	3.32
Draymond Green	73	76	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.28	10	-7	17	14.6	17.5	-2.91	13.3	13.9	-0.55
Kevin Durant	77	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	-1	5	15.4	15.2	0.16	13.7	12.9	0.78
Stephen Curry	72	75	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.28	1	2	-1	14.7	17.0	-2.31	13.0	14.9	-1.91
David West	21	22	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	-3	9	17.4	14.8	2.57	15.7	12.8	2.89
Shaun Livingston	29	29	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	-3	9	17.3	14.5	2.77	15.0	12.8	2.20
JaVale McGee	12	13	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	-1	5	12.3	15.8	-3.44	12.5	13.6	-1.06
Zaza Pachulia	35	36	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	-2	7	14.7	15.7	-0.99	14.1	13.1	1.00
Andre Iguodala	52	53	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.34	-8	11	-19	15.1	15.7	-0.62	13.0	14.0	-0.94
Patrick McCaw	35	34	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.23	-18	21	-39	17.3	14.3	3.08	12.0	14.2	-2.25
Kevon Looney	10	10	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.16	-16	19	-35	17.0	15.2	1.83	8.2	14.0	-5.84

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	37	37	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.16	10	-13	23	13.5	13.5	0.03	16.4	14.7	1.68
John Henson	37	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-3	3	13.9	13.2	0.67	15.0	15.6	-0.61
Malcolm Brogdon	29	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	0	-3	13.0	13.6	-0.60	14.5	15.7	-1.18
Mirza Teletovic	23	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.34	8	-11	19	12.4	13.8	-1.39	19.8	14.1	5.68
Michael Beasley	42	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-6	9	13.3	13.6	-0.23	15.6	15.2	0.39
Miles Plumlee	33	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-2	1	12.7	13.8	-1.10	14.1	16.0	-1.89
Greg Monroe	5	4	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	3	-9	17.4	13.3	4.14	9.5	15.6	-6.10
Giannis Antetokounmpo	85	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	1	-5	13.7	12.2	1.52	15.8	13.2	2.60
Matthew Dellavedova	72	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-3	3	13.6	13.0	0.60	15.7	14.5	1.18
Jabari Parker	78	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.30	-9	6	-15	13.4	13.5	-0.07	14.5	18.2	-3.73
Tony Snell	64	62	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.25	-13	10	-23	13.5	13.5	-0.03	14.7	16.4	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 105, CHA 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.32,0.08,0	92.3%
MIA 114, WAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	91.9%
POR 110, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.17,0.25,0.36,0.15,0.16,0	91.9%