NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	116		Excitement	5.3 [772]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +23.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	107		Comeback	1.7 [882]		LVP	Brandon Ingram (LAL): -9.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.08	-0.02	14	77%	0.28	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18	0.12	0.06	-0.00	10	70%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	15	61%	0.17	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Manu Ginobili	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	9	61%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	13	53%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Dejounte Murray	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Laprovittola	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.00	0.03	12	76%	0.17	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.15	-0.01	0.04	13	80%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	-0.04	10	50%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	15	59%	0.11	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	13	46%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	9	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	30.0	14.6	26.4	1.7	35.0	135.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +48.6%

SAS +5.2%

LAL -12.6%

SAS +8.8%

LAL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAL	NBA	SAS	LAL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.9	14.8	123.4	111.5	107.7
season	15.4	14.5		110.1	104.8
opponent	14.4	14.8		111.6	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.8	16.0	14.8	17.1	15.5
LAL	17.4	14.0	14.6	13.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	73	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.15	13	-4	17	15.1	16.5	-1.44	15.0	14.4	0.55
Tony Parker	50	53	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-7	23	15.6	15.3	0.37	15.4	14.2	1.13
Kawhi Leonard	76	78	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	-1	11	15.6	14.8	0.79	14.9	14.6	0.37
Manu Ginobili	45	45	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.10	11	-2	13	15.0	15.9	-0.86	14.0	15.6	-1.65
Pau Gasol	52	54	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	-4	17	16.2	14.6	1.58	15.5	14.0	1.56
Danny Green	49	50	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	4	1	16.2	14.7	1.49	15.8	13.8	1.93
David Lee	38	38	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.16	1	8	-7	15.5	15.4	0.10	14.2	15.3	-1.07
Kyle Anderson	25	25	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	11	-13	15.9	15.3	0.56	14.4	15.0	-0.67
Patty Mills	43	42	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.25	-7	16	-23	15.5	15.4	0.12	14.3	15.3	-0.97
Dejounte Murray	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	4.0	15.6	-11.59	11.0	14.9	-3.89
Nicolas Laprovittola	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	4.0	15.6	-11.59	11.0	14.9	-3.89
Jonathon Simmons	6	6	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	15	-21	11.0	15.8	-4.77	14.3	14.9	-0.56
Davis Bertans	14	14	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.04	-9	18	-27	14.6	15.6	-0.97	13.8	15.0	-1.25

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Ingram	52	52	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-12	15	15.2	14.4	0.78	16.2	14.6	1.58
Jordan Clarkson	62	62	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.23	6	-15	21	14.2	16.1	-1.96	15.5	15.4	0.05
Tarik Black	25	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-4	-1	14.4	15.0	-0.61	14.7	15.7	-1.03
Larry Nance Jr.	48	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-7	5	14.4	15.3	-0.96	15.9	15.0	0.87
Lou Williams	57	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-8	7	13.6	16.7	-3.05	15.6	15.3	0.34
Luol Deng	67	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-9	9	15.0	14.5	0.48	15.3	15.8	-0.50
Jose Calderon	26	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	3	-15	16.8	14.1	2.68	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Timofey Mozgov	27	26	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	6	-21	16.7	14.1	2.62	15.2	15.6	-0.43
Nick Young	56	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	0	-9	15.0	14.7	0.26	15.3	15.7	-0.34
Julius Randle	60	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	1	-11	15.0	14.5	0.52	15.2	15.9	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.25,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.13,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, CHA 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
MIA 105, BKN 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.2,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
ORL 95, PHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.3,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%