NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	95		Excitement	4.2 [1000]		MVP	Elton Brand (PHI): +11.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	85		Comeback	1.2 [630]		LVP	Spencer Hawes (PHI): -11.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.04	11	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	13	68%	0.13	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	6	58%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	54%	0.07	4	-0.08	9	78%	-0.00
Malik Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Clark	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	39%	-0.04	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	11	36%	-0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	15	65%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	75%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	7	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	12	35%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.04	0.02	11	59%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	16	47%	-0.00	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	8	25%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	29.7	16.0	25.1	2.4	26.5	126.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +34.1%

PHI -0.3%

ORL +21.3%

PHI -6.1%

ORL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	16.4	15.5	104.4	97.7	105.7
season	15.2	15.5		106.3	104.6
opponent	15.5	16.2		103.4	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.2	18.4	15.3	17.4	16.0
PHI	15.1	15.9	20.6	14.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	66	63	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	0	10	14.9	18.8	-3.85	16.7	15.6	1.13
Hedo Turkoglu	60	58	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-1	12	15.0	17.7	-2.69	16.8	15.7	1.12
Ryan Anderson	41	38	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.15	22	-12	34	16.5	15.5	0.95	17.6	15.5	2.09
Jameer Nelson	60	62	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.24	7	3	4	15.4	17.0	-1.52	16.6	15.9	0.68
Jason Richardson	61	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	-4	18	15.3	17.4	-2.14	16.5	16.3	0.21
Chris Duhon	52	48	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	6	-2	16.8	14.9	1.92	16.1	16.7	-0.57
Brandon Bass	61	58	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.20	-5	15	-20	15.8	16.3	-0.55	15.7	17.9	-2.24
Earl Clark	40	36	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	16	-22	18.1	14.3	3.85	15.7	16.9	-1.21
Malik Allen	14	15	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	17	-24	20.2	15.2	5.02	15.0	16.7	-1.69

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	24	25	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.24	11	-21	32	15.1	16.9	-1.76	17.4	15.4	2.03
Marreese Speights	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.27	9	-19	28	13.4	16.9	-3.55	17.4	15.7	1.73
Thaddeus Young	49	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.25	7	-17	24	15.6	17.4	-1.81	17.8	13.6	4.27
Evan Turner	46	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-7	4	15.4	17.5	-2.10	16.7	15.1	1.62
Andres Nocioni	60	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-4	-2	16.8	15.5	1.34	16.4	15.1	1.22
Jrue Holiday	69	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	2	-14	16.6	15.5	1.14	15.8	16.8	-1.08
Elton Brand	67	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	0	-10	17.2	13.6	3.64	15.4	17.8	-2.40
Spencer Hawes	52	56	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.15	-23	13	-36	16.7	15.9	0.86	15.1	17.3	-2.14
Jodie Meeks	55	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.10	-23	13	-36	17.1	15.2	1.92	13.9	19.1	-5.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.3,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 105, BKN 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.2,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
MIA 100, UTA 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.2,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
OKC 103, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%