inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 100 Excitement3.6 [1114] MVPDamon Jones (MIA): +21.5%
Utah Jazz 80 Comeback1.2 [613] LVPCarlos Arroyo (UTA): -7.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damon Jones0.210,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.170.04-0.001281%0.2100.0020%-0.00
Dwyane Wade0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.01-0.021168%0.101-0.021275%0.01
Rasual Butler0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.02781%0.101-0.022100%0.01
Eddie Jones0.000,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01850%0.011-0.012100%0.01
Christian Laettner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01175%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Keyon Dooling-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.04420%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.11-0.01-0.081452%0.015-0.051242%-0.07
Udonis Haslem-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.02-0.02460%0.013-0.052100%0.01
Michael Doleac-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Shandon Anderson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.040.0010%-0.0500.0000%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.03-0.02955%0.0100.004100%0.02
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.03260%0.011-0.006100%0.02
Aleksandar Radojevic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.00-0.0610%-0.0020.0000%0.00
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.01765%0.042-0.053100%0.01
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.000.02333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Gordan Giricek0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01944%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Raja Bell0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.031127%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kirk Snyder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.02-0.03950%0.002-0.04667%-0.00
Carlos Boozer0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.02755%0.033-0.08650%-0.01
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.00750%-0.012-0.06250%-0.01
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.010.00725%-0.0800.002100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.51.831.215.727.02.433.5137.0
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +46.9%
UTA -0.3%
UTA -6.3%
MIA +8.5%
MIA +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAUTANBAMIAUTANBA
this game16.215.515.5109.987.9104.0
season15.716.7107.9102.3
opponent15.115.5106.7101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.017.614.917.316.2
UTA15.715.117.014.015.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Udonis Haslem57580.66-0.160.81-0.1929-93815.317.7-2.4016.513.72.74
Shaquille O'Neal58580.60-0.100.70-0.0723-32615.916.6-0.7216.413.82.64
Damon Jones70700.56-0.060.62-0.2026-63215.219.6-4.4115.615.00.68
Dwyane Wade73740.56-0.060.61-0.1825-53015.718.1-2.3415.316.4-1.08
Rasual Butler61580.400.100.31-0.041551016.415.70.7115.615.30.31
Eddie Jones48500.040.46-0.420.04020-2016.615.70.8615.615.30.37
Wang Zhi-zhi440.000.50-0.500.03-121-2215.516.2-0.7112.515.6-3.11
Shandon Anderson33-0.050.55-0.59-0.02-121-2214.716.2-1.5611.715.6-3.94
Michael Doleac2526-0.050.55-0.600.04-323-2616.716.00.7513.916.1-2.22
Keyon Dooling2121-0.060.56-0.620.11-626-3219.615.24.4115.015.6-0.68
Christian Laettner3533-0.160.66-0.820.05-727-3417.915.12.7814.016.3-2.31

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Howard Eisley22230.13-0.630.77-0.108-283615.515.40.1018.815.33.55
Aleksandar Radojevic1414-0.00-0.500.490.08-3-171414.215.7-1.4917.615.91.65
Gordan Giricek2927-0.08-0.420.330.01-3-171416.415.01.3316.815.90.91
Jarron Collins3232-0.12-0.380.270.00-4-161216.115.10.9617.215.61.66
Kirk Snyder3838-0.13-0.370.24-0.07-2-181614.016.5-2.4817.015.61.37
Carlos Boozer6161-0.21-0.290.090.03-8-12415.315.8-0.4917.114.22.90
Kris Humphries5150-0.22-0.280.060.01-8-12414.916.2-1.3415.816.7-0.88
Matt Harpring6163-0.37-0.13-0.230.04-14-6-815.914.61.3016.016.6-0.62
Raja Bell4849-0.42-0.08-0.340.20-211-2216.014.91.1215.417.1-1.75
Mehmet Okur3030-0.45-0.05-0.400.05-17-3-1416.015.20.7413.217.6-4.39
Carlos Arroyo6968-0.630.13-0.770.19-288-3615.415.5-0.1015.318.8-3.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.2,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 105, BKN 850.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.2,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
ORL 95, PHI 850.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.3,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.9%
DAL 103, MIN 840.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.46,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.6%