inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 105 Excitement3.5 [1115] MVPMario Chalmers (MIA): +8.8%
Brooklyn Nets 85 Comeback1.3 [786] LVPJoe Johnson (BKN): -15.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Chalmers0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.02779%0.0900.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.00-0.023100%0.0800.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.03350%0.0400.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade0.040,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.001658%0.103-0.06450%-0.02
LeBron James0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.021860%0.114-0.08425%-0.04
Ray Allen0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.003100%0.022-0.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02433%0.0100.001100%0.00
James Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Miller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.02545%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.020,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.001453%0.023-0.042100%0.01
Norris Cole-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00744%0.001-0.02250%-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andray Blatche0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.010.00592%0.112-0.02367%-0.02
Brook Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.08-0.000.021366%0.102-0.05683%0.01
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.000.02675%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.01560%0.031-0.0200%0.00
CJ Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kris Humphries00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyshawn Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Mirza Teletovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02844%-0.0010.0000%0.00
MarShon Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02233%-0.0110.002100%0.00
Reggie Evans0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0010%-0.031-0.0320%-0.02
Deron Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.11-0.03-0.04947%0.016-0.101100%0.00
Joe Johnson0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.09-0.030.031542%-0.074-0.09887%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.73.731.517.527.03.029.2140.6
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +30.1%
BKN -1.4%
MIA +8.3%
MIA +13.2%
BKN -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIABKNNBAMIABKNNBA
this game16.215.615.4116.793.4104.1
season15.716.5110.2106.5
opponent15.415.9104.2102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.316.315.717.416.2
BKN15.315.617.014.715.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Udonis Haslem43440.56-0.060.61-0.2427-73414.917.3-2.4316.514.91.56
LeBron James65660.500.000.50-0.1522-22415.617.6-1.9715.615.7-0.04
Chris Bosh66670.470.030.430.14119216.216.00.1917.012.05.01
Mario Chalmers48490.410.090.33-0.031551014.618.0-3.4216.115.20.89
Dwyane Wade63630.360.140.220.01128415.617.6-2.0216.513.82.69
Norris Cole39390.140.36-0.22-0.07713-617.715.02.7615.216.0-0.73
Shane Battier26260.130.37-0.24-0.10812-416.915.90.9914.816.0-1.23
Ray Allen36360.070.43-0.36-0.05416-1217.715.12.5715.815.50.26
James Jones770.000.50-0.50-0.03119-1817.116.11.0510.916.0-5.19
Mike Miller9100.000.50-0.500.03-121-2215.916.2-0.3211.116.2-5.11
Chris Andersen2020-0.040.54-0.57-0.01-121-2217.715.71.9612.916.4-3.52
Rashard Lewis2828-0.100.60-0.690.05-525-3017.315.71.6614.616.1-1.45

Brooklyn Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyshawn Taylor1090.00-0.500.50-0.031-212211.116.2-5.1115.916.2-0.32
CJ Watson2525-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-222415.715.60.0417.615.61.97
Kris Humphries33-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-222419.715.54.1620.316.04.30
Mirza Teletovic2725-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-191813.416.6-3.1917.815.62.19
Gerald Wallace3534-0.04-0.460.430.05-3-171414.916.1-1.1914.917.0-2.13
Keith Bogans3939-0.07-0.430.360.11-6-14815.315.9-0.6017.415.32.08
MarShon Brooks1617-0.07-0.430.36-0.01-2-181611.616.5-4.9615.916.2-0.36
Andray Blatche4444-0.17-0.330.160.01-6-14816.514.91.6515.716.6-0.84
Reggie Evans3738-0.24-0.260.020.05-10-10016.215.30.9616.116.3-0.22
Joe Johnson6967-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.05-11-9-217.111.06.0716.315.80.53
Deron Williams6665-0.50-0.00-0.500.15-222-2415.615.7-0.0415.617.6-1.97
Brook Lopez6262-0.530.03-0.560.12-222-2415.815.40.3915.916.9-1.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.2,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 95, PHI 850.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.3,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
DET 101, CHA 830.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%
MIA 100, UTA 800.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.2,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%