inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 101 Excitement4.2 [983] MVPRichard Hamilton (DET): +10.7%
Charlotte Bobcats 83 Comeback1.3 [527] LVPJason Richardson (CHA): -16.2%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Hamilton0.110,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.060.02-0.031853%0.1100.0000%0.00
Rasheed Wallace0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.01-0.001262%0.111-0.0300%0.00
Amir Johnson0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.010.00771%0.111-0.04367%-0.00
Will Bynum0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.01-0.00967%0.071-0.0100%0.00
Walter Herrmann0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00383%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jason Maxiell0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.060.010.04483%0.051-0.024100%0.01
Rodney Stuckey0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.02-0.01756%0.071-0.062100%0.01
Walter Sharpe0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alex Acker0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.020,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.011050%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Kwame Brown-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03621%-0.0300.00250%-0.00
Arron Afflalo-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.04617%-0.031-0.0100%0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shannon Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.010.02867%0.0900.00887%0.01
Jared Dudley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.010.00467%0.0600.004100%0.02
Raymond Felton0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.010.02-0.04667%0.083-0.03367%-0.00
Emeka Okafor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.000.02569%0.0500.00683%0.01
Adam Morrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.00683%0.082-0.0300%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Alexis Ajinca0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.02542%-0.0200.00250%0.00
Andre Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.090.00-0.0320%-0.033-0.0400%0.00
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.020.031047%-0.033-0.071275%-0.01
Jason Richardson0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.13-0.05-0.021020%-0.112-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.02.425.515.428.02.630.2132.1
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +46.1%
CHA -8.7%
DET +14.8%
CHA -0.3%
CHA -1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCHANBADETCHANBA
this game18.816.915.5124.7103.8106.4
season16.916.5104.9103.0
opponent15.615.7104.5106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET19.619.017.918.918.8
CHA16.415.319.117.116.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Amir Johnson37380.63-0.130.760.0221-32419.018.70.2717.716.31.42
Rasheed Wallace45460.54-0.040.580.071621417.620.4-2.8120.212.57.72
Tayshaun Prince50490.490.010.48-0.1020-22219.617.61.9716.817.1-0.31
Richard Hamilton49480.460.040.420.051441019.118.40.7017.615.91.72
Rodney Stuckey42410.300.200.090.09711-419.018.60.4117.716.11.58
Will Bynum39390.200.30-0.09-0.12117418.619.0-0.4116.117.7-1.58
Kwame Brown31280.060.44-0.380.03117-1621.317.33.9413.119.0-5.89
Arron Afflalo32320.040.46-0.42-0.08414-1018.419.1-0.7015.917.6-1.72
Walter Sharpe440.000.50-0.50-0.09315-1211.719.2-7.4414.017.1-3.09
Alex Acker440.000.50-0.50-0.09315-1211.719.2-7.4414.017.1-3.09
Jason Maxiell4038-0.100.60-0.70-0.04-220-2219.718.01.6715.818.0-2.14
Walter Herrmann3233-0.120.62-0.740.12-826-3417.619.6-2.0416.916.90.00

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shannon Brown46460.08-0.580.66-0.044-222616.218.0-1.8017.720.3-2.52
Alexis Ajinca550.00-0.500.500.03-1-171614.417.1-2.7113.219.2-6.00
Nazr Mohammed99-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-181815.117.2-2.0618.718.8-0.18
D.J. Augustin2829-0.02-0.480.46-0.144-222615.317.8-2.4917.419.6-2.15
Andre Brown1919-0.02-0.480.460.07-3-151216.217.2-0.9516.319.6-3.35
Adam Morrison4040-0.03-0.470.430.02-2-161416.117.8-1.6719.018.60.44
Jared Dudley3634-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.08-6-12617.416.60.7718.419.2-0.82
Jason Richardson5254-0.510.01-0.520.11-213-2417.316.21.1120.216.04.19
Gerald Wallace6669-0.520.02-0.540.04-191-2016.817.7-0.9419.713.85.86
Raymond Felton3738-0.600.10-0.700.13-257-3218.615.53.0819.018.70.33
Emeka Okafor6262-0.610.11-0.730.00-213-2418.113.05.0819.417.12.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 105, BKN 850.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.2,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%
SAS 116, LAL 1070.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.25,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.13,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,094.5%
ORL 95, PHI 850.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.3,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.3%