NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	104		Excitement	4.3 [944]		MVP	Brandon Knight (PHX): +12.4%
Denver Nuggets	120		Comeback	1.0 [1054]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (PHX): -9.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.20	-0.00	0.07	20	68%	0.13	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.00	8	75%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marquese Chriss	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Booker	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	18	62%	0.08	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Alex Len	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Dragan Bender	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
TJ Warren	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	11	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	4	57%	0.03	6	-0.12	6	67%	-0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	22	58%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.02	-0.05	17	43%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	12	71%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	77%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	13	51%	0.05	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.02
Juan Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.03	12	69%	0.08	4	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.07	4	0%	-0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	1.8	31.2	14.8	24.0	1.7	33.3	137.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +16.5%

DEN +12.9%

DEN +13.2%

DEN +5.5%

DEN +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	13.3	15.6	14.8	106.1	118.8	107.7
season	13.9	14.4		105.4	111.6
opponent	14.5	14.5		111.2	110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.0	14.8	13.3	12.2	13.3
DEN	15.2	15.2	14.4	17.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dragan Bender	4	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-12	8	15.0	13.2	1.77	11.8	15.8	-4.00
Leandro Barbosa	36	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-15	14	13.6	13.1	0.48	16.6	15.1	1.48
Marquese Chriss	25	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-13	10	12.7	13.5	-0.84	16.2	15.4	0.84
Tyson Chandler	44	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-15	14	12.6	13.9	-1.34	15.5	15.7	-0.15
Alan Williams	8	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.12	-9	-7	-2	14.1	13.2	0.89	14.3	15.7	-1.39
Jared Dudley	46	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-11	6	13.0	13.6	-0.58	16.1	15.1	1.03
Alex Len	43	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-13	10	13.6	13.1	0.53	16.1	15.3	0.81
Brandon Knight	57	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-10	4	13.3	13.3	0.02	15.6	15.7	-0.12
TJ Warren	37	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-8	0	13.6	13.1	0.42	16.3	15.2	1.14
PJ Tucker	43	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-6	-4	14.2	12.6	1.53	13.9	16.8	-2.91
Eric Bledsoe	68	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	-2	-12	13.2	13.6	-0.42	15.9	14.9	0.93
Devin Booker	79	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.02	-16	0	-16	13.1	14.0	-0.86	15.2	17.2	-2.00

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emmanuel Mudiay	78	77	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.14	24	-8	32	16.2	13.7	2.41	13.0	14.6	-1.61
Danilo Gallinari	79	78	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.08	21	-5	26	15.8	15.0	0.77	13.3	13.2	0.07
Kenneth Faried	53	52	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.15	18	-2	20	16.9	14.1	2.82	12.6	14.2	-1.59
Wilson Chandler	72	70	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	8	0	15.8	15.1	0.75	13.9	11.8	2.08
Jameer Nelson	71	70	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	6	4	16.5	13.4	3.14	13.3	13.3	-0.02
Jusuf Nurkic	33	33	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	10	-4	15.0	15.9	-0.85	12.8	13.6	-0.83
Jamal Murray	43	41	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	12	-8	13.7	17.1	-3.40	13.7	13.0	0.65
Nikola Jokic	42	40	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	17	-18	14.3	16.5	-2.18	13.8	12.9	0.92
Malik Beasley	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	8.5	15.7	-7.25	7.0	13.4	-6.37
Juan Hernangomez	22	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.11	-5	21	-26	15.0	15.8	-0.77	13.2	13.3	-0.07
Alonzo Gee	10	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	22	-28	13.1	15.9	-2.78	14.7	13.2	1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 92, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1,1	96.1%
NYK 114, MEM 130	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
IND 87, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.8%