NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	114		Excitement	3.6 [1059]		MVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): +15.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	130		Comeback	1.0 [1152]		LVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): -5.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	16	69%	0.10	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	5	79%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	22	47%	0.03	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Fred Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.07	7	43%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
David Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.00	0.08	12	63%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Morris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	9	29%	-0.01	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.18	0.00	0.03	11	78%	0.15	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	0.00	0.03	10	90%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	11	79%	0.17	3	-0.03	7	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	5	92%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Juan Carlos Navarro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	7	100%	0.11	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	9	75%	0.09	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	8	65%	0.06	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	48%	0.04	2	-0.02	7	14%	-0.02
Darko Milicic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.7	28.7	16.4	25.7	1.7	26.4	126.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +61.4%

NYK -4.6%

NYK -3.5%

NYK -1.9%

NYK -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MEM	NBA	NYK	MEM	NBA
this game	14.2	14.0	15.4	111.8	127.5	105.7
season	15.7	14.9		103.1	103.3
opponent	14.9	15.2		109.9	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.4	12.9	15.1	13.6	14.2
MEM	13.9	12.0	15.5	15.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-19	22	15.5	14.0	1.42	14.9	13.9	0.96
Nate Robinson	27	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-15	14	13.9	14.3	-0.35	13.8	14.1	-0.32
Mardy Collins	43	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-17	18	13.7	14.5	-0.76	15.0	13.3	1.63
Renaldo Balkman	54	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-15	14	12.3	16.3	-3.94	13.4	14.8	-1.41
Quentin Richardson	8	8	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.11	-8	-8	0	16.0	14.0	1.97	13.2	14.1	-0.87
Wilson Chandler	63	63	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	-14	12	13.6	15.2	-1.61	14.6	13.2	1.37
Fred Jones	51	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-10	4	14.2	14.2	-0.06	13.8	14.3	-0.49
David Lee	62	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-4	-8	13.4	15.3	-1.91	13.4	15.0	-1.56
Zach Randolph	54	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-4	-8	15.5	12.7	2.79	14.6	13.5	1.12
Jared Jeffries	52	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.10	-19	3	-22	16.2	12.1	4.05	14.4	13.7	0.73
Jamal Crawford	85	85	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.07	-21	5	-26	14.3	13.6	0.72	13.7	15.9	-2.20

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	61	60	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.21	27	-11	38	14.2	13.9	0.29	15.4	12.5	2.87
Rudy Gay	47	49	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.14	20	-4	24	14.3	13.9	0.38	16.4	12.1	4.28
Mike Conley	39	40	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	1	14	14.7	13.6	1.08	16.3	12.8	3.56
Hakim Warrick	30	31	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	6	4	15.5	13.5	2.01	16.5	13.2	3.35
Jason Collins	23	24	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	6	4	15.2	13.7	1.45	16.4	13.5	2.92
Kwame Brown	69	68	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	12	-8	13.6	14.9	-1.32	13.0	16.5	-3.43
Juan Carlos Navarro	46	45	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	10	-4	13.3	14.6	-1.32	11.9	16.0	-4.15
Kyle Lowry	64	63	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	14	-12	13.5	15.0	-1.56	12.6	16.8	-4.18
Javaris Crittenton	68	68	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.26	-5	21	-26	13.8	14.6	-0.85	13.5	15.6	-2.19
Darko Milicic	4	4	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	14	-12	14.0	14.1	-0.05	17.7	14.0	3.71
Casey Jacobsen	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	14.9	13.9	0.96	15.5	14.0	1.42
Brian Cardinal	48	47	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.19	-8	24	-32	14.0	14.1	-0.05	12.3	15.8	-3.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 90, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.93,0.98,1,0.99,1,1	96.5%
NOP 80, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
WAS 78, BOS 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%