NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	3.5 [1114]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +25.9%
Golden State Warriors	101		Comeback	1.0 [1255]		LVP	Chris Singleton (WAS): -8.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cartier Martin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.14	-0.00	0.08	13	82%	0.10	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	8	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
John Wall	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	12	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Martell Webster	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nene	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	9	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	10	45%	0.01	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	10	18%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.26	0.01	0.01	18	87%	0.30	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	8	73%	0.10	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	16	53%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	8	62%	0.05	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.05	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.00	3	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.0	28.3	15.4	26.4	3.4	32.6	133.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +48.5%

GSW +1.1%

GSW +4.9%

WAS -7.3%

GSW +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	GSW	NBA	WAS	GSW	NBA
this game	14.6	15.5	15.4	95.8	106.3	104.1
season	15.1	14.6		98.8	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.7		103.7	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.3	14.3	13.6	14.5	14.6
GSW	15.7	14.5	15.2	16.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Singleton	40	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.37	12	-21	33	14.2	14.9	-0.67	16.7	14.7	1.95
Kevin Seraphin	45	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.28	6	-15	21	14.5	14.7	-0.24	16.3	14.9	1.38
Trevor Booker	48	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-12	15	14.6	14.6	-0.06	16.5	14.6	1.84
Cartier Martin	59	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-12	15	14.5	14.8	-0.36	15.5	15.6	-0.01
Emeka Okafor	48	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	3	-15	14.6	14.6	0.06	14.6	16.5	-1.84
John Wall	48	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	4	-17	14.6	14.6	0.06	15.2	15.9	-0.64
Nene	51	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	6	-21	14.7	14.5	0.24	14.9	16.3	-1.38
Garrett Temple	85	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.18	-8	-1	-7	14.7	14.0	0.69	15.7	14.2	1.48
Martell Webster	56	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.13	-21	12	-33	14.9	14.2	0.67	14.7	16.7	-1.95

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	70	72	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.02	18	-9	27	15.4	15.9	-0.51	14.4	15.2	-0.85
Klay Thompson	76	77	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-6	21	15.3	16.6	-1.36	14.2	16.2	-1.92
Harrison Barnes	71	73	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.15	11	-2	13	15.8	14.8	0.96	14.4	15.4	-1.08
Stephen Curry	76	77	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.24	6	3	3	14.9	18.3	-3.39	14.3	15.8	-1.46
Andrew Bogut	57	58	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	1	7	15.4	15.8	-0.36	14.5	14.8	-0.38
Jarrett Jack	51	50	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	9	-9	16.1	14.9	1.23	14.4	14.8	-0.41
Carl Landry	32	30	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	12	-15	15.7	15.5	0.16	15.7	14.1	1.53
Festus Ezeli	30	29	0.01	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	14	-19	15.7	15.5	0.27	15.4	14.3	1.19
Kent Bazemore	6	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	18.0	15.4	2.62	13.4	14.7	-1.35
Draymond Green	11	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	12	-15	19.6	15.0	4.62	17.3	14.3	3.00
Richard Jefferson	6	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	13	-17	18.7	15.3	3.33	14.9	14.6	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 97, LAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
MIA 80, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
PHX 104, DEN 120	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	96.1%