NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	6.8 [496]		MVP	Marvin Williams (CHA): +25.1%
Charlotte Hornets	104		Comeback	3.6 [453]		LVP	Shelvin Mack (UTA): -14.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.01	14	62%	0.23	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Derrick Favors	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.01	12	67%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.03	0.02	19	66%	0.19	4	-0.12	6	100%	0.03
Trey Lyles	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Ingles	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Withey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	4	58%	0.00	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	11	27%	-0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.10	0.01	11	86%	0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.11	0.00	10	62%	0.18	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.02	7	81%	0.18	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	65%	0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Kemba Walker	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	20	46%	0.09	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	7	55%	0.01	1	-0.04	8	50%	-0.03
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	5	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	10	36%	-0.07	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	26.6	15.3	25.3	2.4	33.7	130.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +12.5%

CHA +9.6%

CHA +5.7%

CHA +23.0%

UTA -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHA	NBA	UTA	CHA	NBA
this game	16.1	14.6	14.8	105.4	109.5	107.7
season	16.1	15.1		108.0	107.9
opponent	14.8	15.0		107.9	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.7	15.5	16.7	16.3	16.1
CHA	14.3	15.1	14.0	15.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	68	68	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.25	8	-14	22	16.3	15.4	0.89	14.8	14.1	0.68
Shelvin Mack	47	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.24	6	-12	18	16.5	15.6	0.92	15.2	14.0	1.13
Jeff Withey	8	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	-1	-4	14.6	16.2	-1.56	14.0	14.7	-0.66
Joe Ingles	23	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.09	-3	-3	0	17.1	15.7	1.43	13.5	15.0	-1.42
Trey Lyles	36	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	2	-10	16.8	15.6	1.23	13.7	15.2	-1.51
Rodney Hood	65	66	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-6	6	15.5	17.4	-1.92	14.9	13.9	1.01
Joe Johnson	45	46	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-2	-2	15.9	16.2	-0.28	14.1	15.1	-0.99
Dante Exum	46	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	6	-18	15.6	16.5	-0.92	14.0	15.2	-1.13
Rudy Gobert	57	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	0	-6	16.1	15.9	0.18	15.2	13.6	1.60
Gordon Hayward	70	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.39	-6	0	-6	15.8	16.8	-0.97	14.9	13.8	1.08

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	52	52	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-7	20	14.5	14.8	-0.31	16.3	15.7	0.58
Frank Kaminsky	39	38	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.11	11	-5	16	14.7	14.6	0.11	16.9	15.4	1.51
Nicolas Batum	68	66	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	3	0	14.5	14.9	-0.46	15.8	16.7	-0.86
Marvin Williams	60	59	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	8	-10	14.9	14.0	0.95	15.6	16.8	-1.12
Kemba Walker	67	66	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.28	-1	7	-8	14.4	15.2	-0.82	15.8	16.6	-0.81
Spencer Hawes	37	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	-3	12	14.1	14.9	-0.85	16.7	15.7	1.00
Ramon Sessions	31	30	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	1	4	14.5	14.6	-0.08	16.6	15.8	0.76
Cody Zeller	54	53	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.27	-6	12	-18	14.5	14.7	-0.19	15.5	16.8	-1.40
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	67	65	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.13	-2	8	-10	15.1	13.4	1.71	16.1	15.9	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 73, IND 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.89,0.95,0.97,1,1	92.4%
SAS 87, PHX 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.43,0.44,0.64,0.47,0.61,0.81,0.79,0.95,0.98,1	92.3%
MIA 87, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.91,0.84,1	92.3%