inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 86 Excitement4.1 [977] MVPAndre Drummond (DET): +11.6%
Detroit Pistons 103 Comeback1.0 [1052] LVPEmmanuel Mudiay (DEN): -11.9%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.02-0.041448%0.0900.00580%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic0.070,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.030.00-0.10862%0.0540.0100%0.00
Wilson Chandler0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.011855%0.083-0.072100%0.01
Mike Miller0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Beasley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Juan Hernangomez0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04283%0.0000.002100%0.00
Darrell Arthur-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic-0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.02-0.03933%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.09-0.01-0.06819%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Gary Harris-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00525%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Kenneth Faried-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01822%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Jamal Murray-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.030.011045%-0.044-0.0800%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay-0.120,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.13-0.02-0.02729%-0.043-0.08786%0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Drummond0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.020.09-0.011061%0.194-0.071164%0.00
Jon Leuer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.000.001068%0.0900.002100%0.01
Marcus Morris0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.020.021062%0.0800.004100%0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.011159%0.0700.0000%0.00
Stanley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.070.000.04775%0.0210.00250%-0.00
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.02-0.051339%0.032-0.03250%-0.01
Darrun Hilliard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Henry Ellenson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Gbinije0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Boban Marjanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.0310%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.01658%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Tobias Harris0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.090.01-0.051139%0.033-0.061100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.01.630.515.626.51.826.6127.5
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +46.9%
DET +5.8%
DEN -5.7%
DET +1.6%
DET +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDETNBADENDETNBA
this game15.014.714.887.8107.3107.7
season14.415.0111.6105.0
opponent15.114.5106.4111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN18.513.715.612.115.0
DET12.516.313.816.014.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Miller780.00-0.500.50-0.155-222711.415.2-3.8117.214.52.76
Malik Beasley10110.00-0.500.50-0.217-243111.315.4-4.0917.714.33.40
Darrell Arthur1314-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-222711.315.5-4.2216.814.42.42
Juan Hernangomez2121-0.07-0.430.35-0.256-232913.715.3-1.6018.013.84.20
Gary Harris2828-0.15-0.350.20-0.150-171717.114.12.9415.014.60.35
Kenneth Faried3130-0.17-0.330.150.09-9-8-116.114.41.7015.314.50.80
Wilson Chandler6161-0.21-0.290.070.05-9-8-114.915.1-0.1415.114.01.18
Jameer Nelson4645-0.25-0.250.000.05-10-7-315.814.31.4915.114.40.78
Jamal Murray5957-0.28-0.22-0.060.07-12-5-714.216.2-1.9714.515.1-0.65
Nikola Jokic4947-0.30-0.20-0.100.11-14-3-1115.314.60.7113.815.6-1.87
Emmanuel Mudiay5351-0.32-0.18-0.140.23-192-2114.715.2-0.5113.915.7-1.83
Danilo Gallinari6058-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.01-11-6-516.013.32.7413.416.7-3.34
Jusuf Nurkic5249-0.41-0.09-0.330.29-247-3114.715.3-0.6313.915.6-1.63

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Morris54570.440.060.39-0.2022-52715.613.52.1214.915.1-0.26
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope54570.400.100.31-0.071611513.416.4-2.9616.512.93.55
Tobias Harris70710.360.140.220.1098114.016.6-2.6015.513.42.10
Andre Drummond69710.350.150.19-0.04134914.415.5-1.0614.815.3-0.50
Jon Leuer55560.290.210.08-0.03116514.914.50.4015.314.50.78
Ish Smith58590.270.230.040.0489-114.215.5-1.2515.015.0-0.01
Beno Udrih38390.230.27-0.04-0.0498115.514.21.2515.015.00.01
Aron Baynes22220.150.35-0.19-0.02611-516.014.41.6016.314.61.74
Darrun Hilliard550.000.50-0.500.06-219-2113.414.8-1.3911.015.2-4.18
Henry Ellenson550.000.50-0.500.06-219-2113.414.8-1.3911.015.2-4.18
Michael Gbinije550.000.50-0.500.06-219-2113.414.8-1.3911.015.2-4.18
Boban Marjanovic550.000.50-0.500.06-219-2113.414.8-1.3911.015.2-4.18
Stanley Johnson4038-0.000.50-0.500.03-118-1916.713.33.4012.916.3-3.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 77, MIA 900.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.68,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
DET 64, NJN 820.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,195.7%
TOR 98, DAL 1170.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%