NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	98		Excitement	3.4 [1117]		MVP	Josh Howard (DAL): +13.3%
Dallas Mavericks	117		Comeback	1.0 [1281]		LVP	Anthony Parker (TOR): -3.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joey Graham	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	71%	0.06	3	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	15	47%	0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jose Calderon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	14	50%	0.06	3	-0.06	8	50%	-0.01
Fred Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	6	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Garbajosa	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.05	10	59%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.00	0.04	15	70%	0.19	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.00	6	72%	0.10	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.17	-0.00	0.07	13	77%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	6	71%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.08	17	41%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ager	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	30%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.5	28.2	16.0	28.5	2.0	27.0	132.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +50.0%

TOR -5.4%

DAL +8.1%

TOR -0.6%

TOR -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DAL	NBA	TOR	DAL	NBA
this game	15.0	16.1	15.4	107.7	124.5	104.5
season	15.2	16.3		104.7	108.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		102.3	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.5	17.6	14.5	12.9	15.0
DAL	13.9	16.7	17.5	16.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	18	20	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.11	5	-24	29	14.2	15.2	-1.02	16.1	16.1	0.10
PJ Tucker	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-20	21	14.6	15.1	-0.54	15.4	16.2	-0.75
Rasho Nesterovic	14	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-19	19	15.1	15.0	0.03	15.6	16.2	-0.59
Darrick Martin	24	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-16	13	13.7	15.5	-1.87	16.6	15.9	0.72
Jose Calderon	45	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-19	19	15.5	14.6	0.88	15.4	16.7	-1.21
Fred Jones	32	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-8	-3	14.8	15.2	-0.31	15.5	16.4	-0.86
Joey Graham	52	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-12	5	14.4	15.8	-1.40	16.0	16.2	-0.21
Jorge Garbajosa	49	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.23	-17	-2	-15	16.5	13.3	3.22	15.7	16.5	-0.77
Andrea Bargnani	58	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-11	3	15.1	14.9	0.16	16.3	15.7	0.61
Anthony Parker	31	33	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.18	-20	1	-21	16.2	14.5	1.69	16.6	15.8	0.87
T.J. Ford	61	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	0	-19	14.5	16.2	-1.77	16.5	15.1	1.43
Chris Bosh	62	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	-3	-13	15.0	15.2	-0.29	16.2	15.8	0.35

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	55	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	2	15	16.9	14.9	2.06	15.3	14.7	0.62
Jason Terry	57	57	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	4	11	16.6	15.2	1.42	15.1	14.9	0.21
Devin Harris	46	46	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	5	9	17.2	15.0	2.20	15.0	15.1	-0.18
Josh Howard	67	67	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.11	15	4	11	16.2	15.7	0.52	14.4	16.7	-2.26
Jerry Stackhouse	48	45	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.09	13	6	7	16.5	15.6	0.91	16.1	14.0	2.11
Dirk Nowitzki	21	21	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.14	14	5	9	14.3	16.6	-2.30	15.0	15.1	-0.12
Anthony Johnson	48	45	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	14	-9	15.0	17.2	-2.20	15.1	15.0	0.18
Greg Buckner	35	32	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	13	-7	15.7	16.3	-0.53	13.6	15.8	-2.19
Austin Croshere	32	31	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.14	-3	22	-25	15.7	16.3	-0.63	16.4	14.3	2.09
DeSagana Diop	32	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	16	-13	15.6	16.3	-0.78	15.3	14.9	0.38
Maurice Ager	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	15.4	16.2	-0.75	14.6	15.1	-0.54
Devean George	19	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	22	-25	14.8	16.4	-1.61	13.7	15.4	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 93, PHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MIA 70, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
DET 64, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.8%